2026-01-07 05:31:05

#2026年比特币行情展望 Ethereum hourly chart details worth pondering

Yesterday, I reviewed the trend and want to share some key signals:

From a technical perspective, the price is repeatedly testing the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, and the moving averages are tightly clustered—this "consolidation structure" often indicates a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The MACD green bars are shrinking but haven't fully flipped, suggesting the bearish momentum is waning, and the rebound energy is quietly building.

On-chain, the health looks decent: the number of addresses holding coins has slightly increased, and there are no signs of abnormal outflows from large wallets. The distribution of chips shows no signs of panic. This generally indicates that market sentiment hasn't reached an extreme.

On the news front, things have been relatively calm lately. The Ethereum ETF theme and ecosystem upgrades haven't fully unfolded yet. Once they regain attention, they could serve as triggers.

**Short-term outlook**: Likely to attempt an upward move, with the first resistance around 3280-3300. If the hourly chart can effectively break through 3300 and stabilize, there's a chance to push above 3400 next week.

**Risk management is key**: Once this consolidation pattern activates, the rebound could be strong, but discipline must be maintained—if it breaks below 3200, consider reducing positions or stop-loss. Predictions can never beat strict risk management.

Markets often start amid skepticism and adjust during euphoria. Currently, this stage is actually a good opportunity for calm and strategic positioning. $ETH

BTC0,34%

ETH0,08%

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BearMarketLightning

· 13h ago

I've heard the saying about the middle band of the Bollinger Bands rubbing too many times, but in the end, it still comes down to whether the break of 3200 holds or not.

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MetaverseMortgage

· 22h ago

Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubbing, moving averages converging... I've heard this explanation too many times, each time claiming it's building momentum, but isn't it just a one-sided decline in the end? However, on-chain data indeed shows no panic, maybe this wave is really a bit different.

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CryptoDouble-O-Seven

· 01-09 00:32

The analysis of the accumulation structure is quite good, but I still feel I can only truly relax after breaking through 3300.

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ShortingEnthusiast

· 01-07 06:01

Middle band of Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubbing? This is the so-called "trap to buy" legend, I get fooled every time.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 01-07 05:57

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubbing... In plain terms, it just means the direction hasn't been decided yet. I think the rebound this time has limited room, and the probability of topping out at 3300 is higher.

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TopEscapeArtist

· 01-07 05:57

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands keeps rubbing... Here we go again, every time they say it's building momentum, but as soon as it breaks support, it drops to the limit down. My stop-loss order is laughing to death.

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ChainSpy

· 01-07 05:56

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubs against it. This wave of accumulation structure is indeed interesting. If it can hold above 3300, there's a high probability of a rally next week.

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pvt_key_collector

· 01-07 05:50

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubs... It sounds like testing the bottom line, but not daring to truly break through. This feeling is so familiar. Can 3300 really hold steady?

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GweiObserver

· 01-07 05:43

The middle band of the Bollinger Bands repeatedly rubs against it. This buildup indeed makes a sharp rebound likely, but the 3200 level must be well defended.

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