On January 7th at 13:00 (UTC+8), ETH is quoted at approximately 3,265. In the short term, it is experiencing high-level oscillations, with a medium-term bias towards the bullish side. The key focus is on the breakout direction of 3,300-3,307 resistance and 3,180-3,200 support.

Core Key Levels

- Resistance: 3,300-3,307 (yesterday's high / dense area of previous highs); 3,350 (daily high); 3,400 (psychological barrier)
- Support: 3,250 (midline during oscillation); 3,180-3,200 (early morning low / breakout platform); 3,100 (4-hour SMA20 / midline); 3,050-3,080 (daily strong support)

Multi-cycle Indicators (13:00)

- 1 Hour: RSI≈49.8 (neutral), MACD death cross, weakening momentum, stabilizing above 3,270 for a bullish turn
- 4 Hours: RSI≈57.3 (slightly bullish), MACD shows slowing bullish momentum, bullish structure not broken, awaiting volume confirmation
- Daily: RSI≈60.5 (slightly bullish), MACD bullish, above 20/50-day SMAs, medium-term bullish

Pattern and Volume

- Pattern: Price surged to 3,307, then fell back to 3,181, followed by a quick rebound. Buying at 3,180-3,200 is effective, high-level oscillation is digesting floating positions
- Volume: Volume increased during the pullback, decreased during the rebound. Breakthrough of key levels requires volume confirmation

Actionable Trading Strategies

- Bullish (Conservative): Enter on hourly close above 3,270; stop loss below 3,250; targets at 3,300, 3,307, and 3,350
- Bullish (Aggressive): Stabilize at 3,180-3,200 with a small position, stop loss below 3,170; targets same as conservative
- Bearish (Conservative): Enter on hourly close below 3,180; stop loss above 3,210; targets at 3,100 and 3,050-3,080
- Position Size: Single direction ≤30%, total position ≤50%, strictly adhere to stop-loss, avoid chasing highs at 3,250-3,270

Risks and Outlook

- Risks: BTC correlation, ETF capital flows, on-chain volatility; breaking below 3,050 shifts outlook to medium-term bearish
- Medium-term Outlook: Maintain bullish stance above 3,050; if breaking through 3,307 with volume, target 3,350-3,400; if losing 3,050, look towards 3,000-3,050