#以太坊大户持仓变化 ETH's movement today is a bit interesting—pushed up then dropped back down, with resistance stuck in the 3295-3305 range, and support below around 3240.

From a technical perspective, the MACD's DIF and DEA are both below the zero line, with the green bars still expanding, indicating strong bearish momentum. Regarding moving averages, both MA7 and MA30 are trending downward, suggesting a medium-term weak trend.

Trading volume doesn't show any bright spots. During upward moves, volume didn't pick up, and the rebound momentum was already lacking. Conversely, during declines, selling pressure clearly increased, and the signal of funds withdrawing is very obvious.

Let's note a few key numbers at the midday point: resistance levels at 3280 and 3295, support at 3250 and 3240. The dividing line between bulls and bears is at MA30 (currently around 3265), which is a very critical level. Market sentiment shows that after a rebound and reversal, panic selling has surged, and there's no sign of a reversal in the short term.

**If you're still holding coins**—the current price at 3262 is already below MA30. Consider reducing your position by 30%-50% to avoid being caught in a further decline. If the price rebounds back into the 3280-3295 range but volume still doesn't pick up, then just cut losses and exit—no need to hold on.

**If you're waiting in cash**—aggressive traders can try a small long position around 3250, with a stop loss at 3240, targeting 3265-3270. More conservative traders should wait until 3240 truly stabilizes, with two consecutive 15-minute K-lines closing above MA30 before considering entering.

**Risk management tips**—never go all-in on a bottom-fishing trade, and don't use leverage exceeding 10x. When the US stock market opens in the evening, there might be a correlated effect, especially keep an eye on Bitcoin. If BTC drops below 92,000, ETH is likely to accelerate its decline as well.