#以太坊大户持仓变化 The recent 4-hour chart for Ethereum still looks quite promising.

Currently, the price is stuck around 3264.97 USDT, up 1.275% in the past 24 hours. The overall rhythm is fluctuating within a clear upward trend. Looking downward, 3183.68 is the main support, while the resistance at the top is around 3322.46.

From a technical perspective, this wave of market movement has several features—moving averages are aligned neatly, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 at 3238.82, 3216.88, and just over 3200 respectively. The price is firmly above these lines, indicating strong short-term momentum. The MACD is in a golden cross, with the histogram still positive, showing ongoing bullish momentum. The Bollinger Bands have widened, with the price hovering near the upper band, volatility has increased, but this also means resistance is present, so caution is advised.

However, there's a concern—RSI has surged to 79.65, well into overbought territory. Additionally, the K value is at 76.04, D at 72.66, and J even reached 82.79. These indicators are warning that a short-term technical correction may be needed before further upward movement.

The capital flow signals are quite interesting. Funding rate is at 0.00999%, indicating that long positions are still dominant but not yet excessively bullish. Recently, trading volume has increased, with a 24-hour volume reaching 145 million during the 1767355200000 period, showing good volume-price coordination. More notably, the capital flow in 2-hour and 6-hour contracts—net inflow of 217 million and 363 million respectively—suggests that large funds are actively continuing to go long.

As for trading ideas, I think—uptrend is intact, but risks are real. A pullback to the 3220-3230 range (around MA5) could be a good entry point for scaling in, rather than going all-in at once. Set a stop-loss at 3180, allowing for about 3% downside space, only exiting if it falls below the main support. On the upside, targets are around 3320-3350, offering a 3 to 5 point profit space, close to resistance levels.

In summary, this price level is quite congested. With RSI overbought and near the Bollinger upper band, the risk of a correction is real. Never go all-in; scaling into positions is the key.