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Bitcoin Premium Index Fluctuates Again—What Is the Volatility of U.S. Market Sentiment?
【BlockBeats】Recently, Bitcoin’s performance in the US market has been quite interesting. On January 7th, according to on-chain data, the Bitcoin premium index of a leading compliant trading platform suddenly turned negative, dropping to -0.0277%. This shift happened quite quickly—the day before, it rebounded from negative to 0.011%, marking the first positive reading after 22 consecutive days.
Speaking of this premium index, it essentially reflects the difference between Bitcoin prices on a major compliant trading platform and the global market average. In other words, it’s a window into what US funds are doing.
What does a positive premium mean? It indicates that the coin price on the platform is higher than the global average, usually representing several scenarios: high enthusiasm among US buyers, active positioning by institutions and compliant funds, or ample US dollar liquidity and a generally optimistic market sentiment. During such times, institutions are often quietly building positions.
And a negative premium? Conversely, it means the platform’s coin price is below the global average. This typically reflects noticeable selling pressure in the US market, with investors’ risk appetite declining. Sometimes, it also indicates rising risk aversion or capital outflows.
Looking at this recent oscillation, market sentiment is indeed swinging. The 22-day negative premium suddenly turning positive lasted only one day, and now it’s back in negative territory. This tug-of-war suggests that the buying and selling forces in the US market are repeatedly contesting, without forming a clear directional consensus. For those tracking institutional movements and market sentiment, this data is still worth paying attention to.