2026-01-05 02:26:11

Recently, an interesting phenomenon has been observed in the crypto market. Bitcoin valuation metrics are at their historical lows, while the relative valuation of gold has reached a new high since 2011, and the Bitcoin-to-Gold ratio has fallen near the bottom of the power-law curve. These three different indicators all point in the same direction — something that has not happened before.

Using standard deviations for clarity, Bitcoin's current valuation is in a severe undervaluation state (-2σ), while gold is the opposite, significantly overvalued (+2σ). This pattern is quite interestingly opposite to the market situation at the end of 2017.

Looking back at that cycle: Bitcoin was in an overbought state and then entered a long-term bear market; gold was extremely oversold and then began a multi-year rebound. Will history repeat itself? Are these rotation signals about to appear again? Based on the resonance of multiple indicators, a certain market turning point may be brewing.

BTC-0,06%

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DeepRabbitHole

· 01-07 23:47

You say these three indicators all point in the same direction, but I feel a bit skeptical. Will history really repeat itself so obediently?

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ApeDegen

· 01-07 23:38

Damn, three indicators pointing in the same direction at once? That's gotta be really rare. Feels like a real turning point is about to come. --- If history repeats, I gotta jump in quick. Can't miss another opportunity. --- Honestly, what scares me most is this kind of "weird resonance." It usually means the market is about to change drastically. --- I missed out on that round in 2017. Can't just sit idle this time. --- Bitcoin -2σ, gold +2σ... Is this divergence hinting at something? --- I just wanna know how fast the rotation will happen once a turning point emerges. Those unprepared will get wiped out. --- Multiple indicator resonance sounds impressive, but when it comes to actual trading, you still gotta catch the right timing. --- Reverse-referencing the bottom of 2017 is interesting. How many people got trapped back then and are still stuck? --- Feels like another round of the "prediction vs reality" tug-of-war is about to start. No matter how accurate the indicators are, it still depends on whether the market accepts them. --- Would be awesome if it could rally like gold for several years, but I'm more afraid it keeps dropping and makes us look stupid.

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TokenAlchemist

· 01-05 02:55

ngl the -2σ bitcoin valuation alongside that gold +2σ divergence is literally screaming mean reversion... but everyone always forgets that historical parallels aren't arbitrage signals lmao

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ConfusedWhale

· 01-05 02:49

This data is satisfying to compare, I've really never seen such neat signals before.

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potentially_notable

· 01-05 02:46

This time it's really different, with three dimensions pointing to the bottom simultaneously... feels like something big is coming.

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GateUser-26d7f434

· 01-05 02:38

Hmm... These three indicators all point to the bottom at the same time. It sounds a bit too neat. --- Did the 2017 reversal come back? I feel like this time is different. --- Wait, gold -2σ and Bitcoin +2σ? That's opposite, indeed. --- History may repeat itself, but the real question is whether we can make money. --- Multiple indicators resonating... sounds impressive, but what about in practice? --- Is a turning point brewing? Then I'll just watch quietly; I’m not taking any action anyway. --- This layout is more extreme than in 2017, a bit scary.

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airdrop_huntress