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Can a 125 basis point rate cut stir the 2026 market? The Federal Reserve's January end-of-month decision becomes the "North Star"
As the Fed's meeting on January 27-28 approaches, market sentiment is already at its breaking point. The key question is: will this meeting, as rumored, deliver an aggressive 125 basis point rate cut for the entire year in one go?
Where's the problem? Powell is caught in the middle—on one side, the pressure from the gradually spreading unemployment wave; on the other, the awkwardly inflated GDP growth. Staying put might lead to a hard landing; aggressive easing risks reigniting inflation. Coupled with various market speculations about policy intentions, the decision at 3:00 AM Beijing time on January 29th has enough uncertainties.
Interestingly, amid this macro uncertainty, smart money is starting to move—withdrawn from traditional safe-haven assets and shifting into sectors with strong consensus support. Assets like $DOGE, which carry social buzz and global participation, have become hotspots for liquidity reallocation.
What’s your take? Will Powell choose to rescue the market with easing, or will the economy hard land? Share your prediction in the comments! 👇