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#2026行情预测 Cb2026 Cryptocurrency Market Outlook: DAT Iteration 2.0 Restructures Token Economy, Forecasting Market Trading Volume to Explode!
On January 2nd, comprehensive news reports that David Duong, Head of Cb Investment Research, released the "2026 Cryptocurrency Market Outlook Report," which provides multi-dimensional core assessments to guide industry development.
From the macroeconomic fundamentals, the US economy demonstrates strong resilience, with continuous increases in labor productivity effectively offsetting the pressure of slowing economic growth. Based on this core logic, Cb clearly states: in the first half of 2026, the overall pattern of the cryptocurrency market will be closer to the stable development cycle of 1996 rather than the bubble phase of 1999. The overall tone is optimistic, but it also warns the industry that multiple uncertainties and risks still exist in the current market, and rational planning is necessary.
In the development of core tracks, the DAT track will enter a critical iteration period. By 2025, DAT has achieved large-scale expansion of buyer groups, and the industry will enter a valuation-driven integration stage; Cb predicts that 2026 will officially mark the beginning of the new "DAT 2.0" development phase. Compared to the asset accumulation logic of version 1.0, the 2.0 model will focus on three core scenarios: professional trading, secure storage, and targeted procurement within sovereign blockchain spaces. The core value of blockchain space is redefined, elevating it to a strategic key commodity within the digital economy system.
The token economy system will undergo a qualitative breakthrough. Under the continued clarification of policies, the economic rights of token holders are deeply linked to the platform's actual activity levels. Various protocols are accelerating towards value capture, with core value distribution mechanisms such as fee sharing, token buybacks, and token burning becoming increasingly mature. This marks the industry's transition from an early stage of concept testing, relying solely on narrative support, to a sustainable development stage centered on revenue, fundamentally reshaping the industry’s value logic.
On the technological front, core privacy technologies such as Zero-Knowledge Proofs (ZKP) and Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) will continue to iterate and upgrade. With the widespread adoption and commercialization of encryption infrastructure, the actual application penetration rate of on-chain privacy solutions will significantly increase, making privacy protection a core necessity for industry development.
In niche tracks, the prediction market is expected to become a new growth engine. Changes in US tax policies are likely to serve as key catalysts, driving a large number of users toward prediction markets with derivative attributes, further expanding industry trading volume. Although market fragmentation may pose potential risks, Cb assesses that prediction market aggregators are expected to leverage traffic integration and efficiency advantages to grow into dominant interface layers in the industry. Future weekly trading volume peaks could potentially exceed tens of billions of dollars.
In the long term, the development potential of the stablecoin track is enormous. It is expected that by the end of 2028, the total global market cap of stablecoins will steadily rise to around $1.2 trillion. Use cases such as cross-border transactions, cross-border remittances, and global payroll distribution will continue to expand, further highlighting the role of stablecoins as a bridge between the crypto economy and traditional finance.