2025-12-31 04:25:34

Today is an exciting trading day. From a macro perspective, the overall market index appears stable and performing well, but behind this lies a harsh reality: the heavyweight sectors are propping up the market, while individual stocks are generally weakening. The pattern of more gains and fewer losses has shifted to more losses and fewer gains, with main capital quietly reducing positions. The prosperity of this index, supported by a few large-cap stocks, is actually of little significance.

Honestly, it’s hard to see large bullish candles with profit effects at this level. Instead of pushing higher, it’s better to undergo a deep correction and clear out the followers, which can attract genuine capital inflows. High-level oscillations without profit effects naturally discourage funds from entering.

However, some hot sectors are quite interesting. Commercial aerospace still maintains a strong momentum, with aerospace equipment and satellite internet leading the gains. Although there are obvious differences within the sector, the overall enthusiasm remains. For these high-level concept stocks, we should observe more and act less, treating them as a weather vane for market strength—so long as there’s no collective plunge, there’s no need to worry about a sudden crash in the index.

AI and robotics concepts are also quite active today. Regarding AI, there’s big news circulating— a leading domestic generative AI company is about to list in Hong Kong, planning to raise HKD 4.2 billion. Alibaba and top Middle Eastern investors are competing to be cornerstone investors, aiming for the "No. 1 domestic generative AI stock" title. The competition for company listings is becoming increasingly fierce.

The robotics sector is even busier, with many related stocks hitting daily limit-ups recently, showing explosive profit effects. Coupled with news, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other regulatory bodies have recently issued documents promoting large-scale application of intelligent robots in the automotive industry. Tasks like welding and spraying will eventually be automated.

The non-ferrous metals sector is also shining, with leading companies reaching new highs, and their earnings forecasts are impressive—projected full-year net profit growth approaching 60%. Behind this is the support from the strengthening international futures market, adding fuel to the entire sector.

Silver has experienced rollercoaster movements in the past two days, with a nearly 10% plunge the day before yesterday, followed by a V-shaped rebound the next day. Analysts believe this is mainly a technical adjustment, as the supply-demand gap in the fundamentals remains. Based on this trend, this year’s performance is expected to break records not seen in nearly half a century.

Overall, the market’s trading volume is gradually releasing, with some local hotspots active. The probability of the index continuing to rise sharply is low. Since upward movement cannot generate effective profit effects, it’s better to create a pit downward. 2026 will be the real harvest season; the current adjustment is just preparing for the subsequent rebound.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

18 Likes

Reward
18
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

ContractTester

· 9h ago

Weighting to support individual stocks' decline, I've seen this routine too many times, it's just to buy time for the main players to escape the top. The robot's recent streak of daily limit-ups is a bit crazy, but the strong profit effect makes it even more dangerous. Don't get sucked in. Silver roller coaster, is the nightmare of Chinese aunties coming again? I'm tired of hearing that 2026 is the harvest season. Let's wait until that day to see. Commercial aerospace is still being hyped without a collective plunge, indicating there are still some fools taking the bait. It's okay if the index crashes downward, at least it's more straightforward than this false prosperity. The rise in non-ferrous metals is a bit outrageous, international futures are acting up, beware of the bagholders. If the profit effect disappears, don't force it. If you need to leave, just leave. Otherwise, your account could suffer huge losses with no one to back you up.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter007

· 2025-12-31 04:53

Major stocks are holding up, retail investors are still in a daze, and the main players have long since slipped away secretly. This kind of market is just a routine. Is AI Hong Kong stocks about to go public? It's another money-raising cycle. I'll wait and see. The robot concept is really exploding, but be careful when taking over at high levels. I've also experienced the roller coaster of silver. The technical analysis sounds good, but in reality, it's just the big players shaking out the weak. The story about 2026 sounds appealing, but what's important now is surviving until then. Pushing down to create a trap? I think it's unlikely. If the funds really wanted to clear out retail investors, they would have done it already. Non-ferrous metals are rising happily, but don't be too greedy. The leading stocks hitting new highs often mark the top. Whether the index rises or falls doesn't matter; what's crucial is whether individual stocks can make money. That's the most heartbreaking part. Keep an eye on the aerospace sector if there's still heat, but don't be impulsive. The trend indicator is the easiest to deceive. Honestly, I prefer to observe at this position and wait for clear market signals before taking action.

View OriginalReply0

HodlOrRegret

· 2025-12-31 04:50

The weight is just hard supporting individual stocks to run away, I know this routine too well... It's another story of relying on a few blue-chip stocks to support the index, which is really boring. The robot this time is indeed a bit impressive; the profit from consecutive limit-ups is the real king, unlike those虚的概念. Silver roller coaster? That hurts. The technical adjustment sounds like comforting oneself. We need to see how long the fundamental gap can support it. Only expecting to reap in 2026? Then what am I supposed to do until then, haha. But the logic of adjusting to build a bottom is still correct. The aerospace sector is still hot, but I remain cautious, watching more and acting less is the safest approach.

View OriginalReply0

SnapshotBot

· 2025-12-31 04:47

The increasing prominence of support weights is really evident, retail investors' hard-earned money is all trapped inside. The profit effect from this wave of robots is truly explosive, even hitting the daily limit. Silver's V-shaped rebound is indeed fierce, but I'm worried it might just be a trap to lure more in. Is 2026 the real opportunity? Then we might as well wait until the Year of the Monkey for this correction. The hype around commercial aerospace is still there, but I prefer to watch more and act less; it's too intangible. The stellar performance of non-ferrous metals, I believe in that, at least there's a fundamental support. The index crashing downward might actually be a good thing, as it helps clear out the follow-the-leader traders. AI rushing to list in Hong Kong again to seize the first stock? The competition is really intense.

View OriginalReply0

ZenChainWalker

· 2025-12-31 04:41

Stop playing the game of weight support tricks; retail investors have already seen through it. The robot concept is back? How are the brothers still chasing the limit-up stocks? Won't they be caught holding the bag again this time? The V-shaped rebound in silver feels like a trick to lure me into the market, haha. If the index can't go up, it will just crash. Anyway, 2026 is the real year. Right now, it's the most comfortable to slack off. Aerospace is okay, but I don't dare to jump in yet. I'll wait and see which way the wind blows.

View OriginalReply0

0xDreamChaser

· 2025-12-31 04:28

Major stocks are holding firm there, while retail investors are still struggling to hold on. This situation is indeed a bit awkward. The robot's recent streak of limit-ups feels a bit like it’s gathering strength, but we also need to watch out for a drop. Silver's roller coaster ride, I'll just watch, as the fundamentals are still there. If the index continues to surge like this, it really loses momentum; better to adjust and clean up some positions. AI listing in Hong Kong is stirring up new disruptions; 2026 will be the real show, right? Although hot sectors are active, I still prefer to watch rather than act on these high-level concept stocks—they're too hot to handle. Ultimately, it's still about the lack of profit-driving effects; funds are all on the sidelines. The performance of non-ferrous metals is so impressive that it actually makes me a bit confused about the market rhythm.

View OriginalReply0