2025-12-31 04:23:03

The Federal Reserve's recently released December policy meeting minutes have exposed their true internal thoughts — officials actually have significant disagreements.

Interestingly, even those members inclined to maintain the status quo openly admitted that they initially wanted to support no rate cuts. However, considering the employment pressures and other risk factors in front of them, they ultimately chose to follow the trend of rate cuts. Based on their economic forecasts, after the December rate cut, the next move might be to hold steady for a period.

A key turning point has arrived — if inflation can truly gradually decline, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut rates. From this perspective, all focus now shifts back to inflation data.

Market reactions have been very straightforward. The latest probability of a rate cut in January has fallen to less than 15%, indicating that investors are becoming more cautious about inflation prospects.

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GhostAddressMiner

· 3h ago

It's all just acting; those disagreements in the minutes were actually written on the chain long ago. Just look at the large fund flows before and after this round of rate cuts, and you'll see clearly who is really betting on what. Is the probability of a rate cut in January dropping to 15%? Suspicious, this timing is too coincidental, it feels like someone is front-running the layout.

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LayerHopper

· 3h ago

In plain terms, the Federal Reserve is a tangled mess internally, each with their own little motives. Wait, so inflation is the real big boss? Then we still have to wait and see. A 15% chance of rate cuts... the market's reaction is a bit intense. Federal Reserve: We've thought it through, but haven't really thought it through. Investors are betting on inflation data, in essence betting on what the Federal Reserve will do next.

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ser_ngmi

· 3h ago

Basically, the Federal Reserve is a bit confused now; inflation is the real ruler.

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ImaginaryWhale

· 3h ago

So the Federal Reserve is still watching inflation's cues; it should have been like this a long time ago.

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ShitcoinConnoisseur

· 3h ago

Basically, it's the Federal Reserve's internal conflict, each doing their own thing. Inflation data, employment data—anyway, the common people are still the chives. The probability of interest rate cuts has dropped to 15%... everyone needs to wake up this time. The Fed's recent moves are a bit虚虚, who would believe it? Inflation is the boss; everything else is just浮云.

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PerpetualLonger

· 4h ago

Ha, it's the same old story, Fed officials throwing shade at each other. Honestly, inflation is the real boss, rate cuts are just a smokescreen. I find the 15% probability on January 15th hard to believe; the bears are up to something again. With these expectations, should I add to my position or hold steady? They're performing, we're bottom-fishing, an endless cycle. As soon as the inflation data is released, it'll be our turn to get reaped. Forget it, go all-in and keep the faith. This thing called conviction must be maintained. The bull market has truly arrived this time, the bottom-fishing opportunities are right in front of us, so what are we hesitating for?

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HashRateHermit

· 4h ago

The Fed folks are really fighting among themselves, and they still have to rely on employment data to save face.

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