#比特币与代币化黄金对比 2026 Gold Metal Pattern Observation

As the year comes to an end, the gold market is accumulating upward momentum. Changes in the interest rate environment, evolving geopolitical situations, and continuous buying by global central banks—these factors form a supportive network.

From a fundamental perspective, the Fed's policy shift has opened up space for precious metals. The low-interest-rate era significantly reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is favorable for long-term capital flows. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainties make institutions and central banks more determined to increase their holdings of hard assets—this trend has persisted since 2022.

On the technical side: gold has recently been in a period of oscillation and adjustment. In the short term, the 1-hour chart has repeatedly bounced between moving averages and Bollinger Bands. The 4310-4325 range acts as a fortress for bulls, while the 4390-4400 zone forms a resistance band. On the daily chart, the price has broken through two key levels at 4500 and 4400, reaching as low as around 4300, and is now in a phase of gradual rebound. The 4400-4418 range is currently a heavy resistance zone, and in the 4-hour cycle, its lower boundary aligns with Fibonacci ratios and the 100-hour moving average, creating multiple support resonances—this is the window for entering long positions.

Layout Strategy

Main Entry Points: When the gold price softens to 4340-4350, consider actively building positions.

Adding Positions: If it retraces to 4320 or 4325, add to your position while setting stop-loss near 4310.

Profit Targets: First focus on 4380; after stabilizing, continue to watch the pressure zone at 4400-4420.

Basic Bullish Zone: 4310-4325 is also a good entry point, with an initial target of 4350, and if broken through, aiming for 4360.

Bearish Timing

Entry Point: When the gold price rises to 4390-4400 and faces resistance, consider light short positions.

Downside Targets: First look at 4350; if broken, then continue to 4340.

Trading Tips: During volatile markets, it’s easiest to lose composure. The true winners are those who can withstand fluctuations. Don’t get caught up in short-term rises and falls; stable compound growth is the ultimate goal.