Bitcoin has been consolidating for nearly a month after falling from its high point. Although the market remains sluggish, there has been no crash-like decline. This trend indeed reminds people of the feeling during the end of 2022.



From a technical perspective, there are several features worth noting. The weekly RSI has already fallen into the oversold zone, and the Fear & Greed Index has dropped to extreme fear levels. These data points themselves indicate that the market is heavily dominated by panic sentiment.

Moreover, based on community reactions, popularity has indeed cooled to freezing point. Those lively crypto groups that used to be bustling are now quiet, with very few discussing the market. Social media is filled with bearish voices, and apocalyptic rhetoric is everywhere. The overall market sentiment has reached a historic low.

But what's interesting is that beneath this extreme pessimism, on-chain data tells a different story. The OG-level distribution of BTC has begun to weaken gradually, and signs of institutional and large holder accumulation are becoming more apparent. More importantly, the support levels below have been effectively maintained and have not further declined.

In this context, the stark contrast between the extreme market pessimism and the quiet accumulation by whales on-chain creates an intriguing divergence.
BTC0,61%
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MoonRocketmanvip
· 5h ago
Typical pre-launch fuel accumulation signal, RSI oversold + whale accumulation = gathering strength for launch Wait, the support below hasn't broken, what does that mean? It indicates escape velocity is still sufficient, this is the best entry window Hedge index at a historic low? Brother, isn't this when gravity is strongest? The rebound angle coefficient is going to explode Retail investors are shouting about the end of the world, but I see whales on the chain quietly stacking fuel. Probability theory tells us that often the opposite operation is needed to break through the atmosphere That rhythm at the end of 2022 was the same. If you don't believe it, go back and calculate the slope of the rebound from the lowest point
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ForumMiningMastervip
· 5h ago
It's the same story again: big players accumulating, bottom rebound. We've been talking about this for over a year. Retail investors get shaken out by FUD, while institutions quietly buy in. This script feels so familiar. The panic index is off the charts, but perhaps that's actually the best buying signal.
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DAOdreamervip
· 5h ago
Wait a minute, the big players are accumulating, and we're still panicking? Isn't this script reversed?
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SleepyValidatorvip
· 5h ago
Whales are accumulating, retail investors are screaming, this is the crypto world haha
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DuckFluffvip
· 5h ago
Whales are eating up the orders, retail investors are cutting losses, this manipulation is just incredible --- It's that same set of "Extreme fear is an opportunity," I've heard it a hundred times and it still feels so hollow --- Basically, big players are quietly building positions at the bottom, and us small investors should just stay out of the way --- RSI is oversold, the panic index is at its max, looking bullish now actually takes some courage --- Ridiculous, the group is dead but the price still drops to historical lows, isn't this just darkness before dawn? --- On-chain data is impressive, but I see my assets are still falling, now that's awkward --- Everyone in the know understands whether this is a shakeout or really a dump, I can't tell the difference anyway --- Wait, if the support hasn't broken, what does that mean? Could it really be a rebound? --- The crypto world is so quiet right now, it actually feels a bit scary, too strange
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