#2026年美国股市展望 The Federal Reserve meeting minutes are out, and the two-month stalemate in the crypto world may be about to break.

During this period, the market has been tightly confined within a range, mainly because investors are waiting for a true macro trigger. In tonight’s minutes, the divergence between hawks and doves is particularly pronounced—one side refuses to loosen on inflation, while the other begins to worry about the economy and employment. The greater the divergence, the more intense the volatility usually is. I tend to believe the minutes will lean towards a hawkish stance, which will be a severe test for the crypto market in the short term.

The key support for $BTC is in the range of 83,821–86,284. If broken, 80,641 may not hold. If you're trading with leverage, you must set stop-losses tonight—don’t try to hold through it.

But from another perspective, panic can actually be an opportunity for long-term players. Recently, whale activity entering exchanges has significantly cooled down, indicating that big funds are not in a rush to buy but are waiting for a low-entry window after emotions fully release.

However, there is a question worth reflecting on: the market you see is already one step behind reality. On-chain liquidations, risk control, and strategy execution have long been triggered automatically based on external data. Retail investors often only react after the price has already jumped.

This is also why infrastructure like oracles is becoming increasingly important. Its core function is not to predict price movements but to reliably and verifiably bring real-world data such as interest rates and macro events onto the chain, enabling protocols and strategies to make decisions immediately. Through decentralized multi-source data collection and consensus verification, it reduces data latency and distortion—this is precisely the biggest shortcoming of DeFi.

In summary: no matter how the market moves tonight, first control your position size, and second, identify the overall trend clearly. Those who can withstand cycles are never driven by emotional fluctuations but by underlying tools that make market decisions more certain.