After five years in the crypto world, I finally understand one thing: no matter how complex the candlestick patterns are, they can't beat where the funds are flowing. I used to be a fanatic about indicators, staying up late studying MACD golden crosses and death crosses. But what happened? I made a penny in the bull market, and lost it all in the bear market. It wasn't until I gave up on wild predictions and adopted the simplest method—just watching the flow of money—that my initial 8,000 USD capital grew stubbornly to 100,000 USD.
The core strategies are three:
**First Trick: Forget technical analysis, follow the "smart money"**
The actions of the big players always lead indicators by half a beat. My daily routine now is very simple: focus on where large transfers on the chain are moving. Large movements of BTC and ETH, signs of main wallets increasing positions—these data are more honest than any moving average. See institutions accumulating? Even if there's a short-term loss, I dare to buy in batches. But if there's suddenly high volume with sideways movement? That’s just fishing, pass right by.
For example, in August when BTC dropped to 40,000 USD, on-chain data showed institutions were still aggressively accumulating. I didn’t hesitate and added to my position. As a result, the rebound in September brought a 70% increase.
**Second Trick: Diversify holdings, avoid all-in bets at all costs**
"Going all-in is an accelerator for collapse," I learned this lesson with a 300,000 USD investment. Now, my rules are strict: divide total funds into 10 parts, and never hold more than 15% in any single coin.
The process is: try a small position → confirm and add more → take profits and withdraw principal. Here’s how I do it—
Start by investing 3% of my funds. If it drops 10%, I cut losses immediately, so the loss won't exceed 0.3% of total funds. Once the trend stabilizes, I add another 5%, and move the stop-loss to the cost basis. When profits exceed 30%, I withdraw all the principal, letting the remaining profits run freely.
Most importantly: accept losses and cut meat when things go south. Don’t cling to the idea of breaking even. Clinging to that thought will kill your trading.
**Third Trick: When everyone is scared, I step in**
The most panic-stricken moments in the market are the best opportunities to buy. When others are fleeing, you stay put; when others chase high, you’ve already exited. That’s the difference between quick-profit traders and steady-profit traders.
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Long-shortEquityStrategyMaster
· 15h ago
A rebound is an opportunity to go short🈳. Don't be afraid, just do it—send Ethereum to the West! Charge, charge, charge!
View OriginalReply0
Hash_Bandit
· 16h ago
following money flow beats chasing indicators any day... learned that the hard way after years of getting rekt by false signals. the on-chain data doesn't lie like your ta does tbh
Reply0
GasFeeSobber
· 16h ago
Exactly right, but execution is really difficult. I studied on-chain data for a long time, but in the end, I still let emotions take over. When I see a 10% drop, I panic and sell...
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GasFeeNightmare
· 16h ago
Basically, it's about giving up on predictions and following the big funds to eat leftovers and scraps. I've heard this routine too many times.
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BearMarketSurvivor
· 16h ago
Honestly, I've heard this logic too many times. The problem is that most people know it in theory, but when it comes to cutting losses, they still hesitate.
As for smart money, it's easy to say, but with so much on-chain data, how can you tell which are genuine accumulation signals and which are fake buy orders?
I've paid the price for going all-in before; a 300,000 yuan lesson is indeed costly. However, I still have some doubts about diversification. It seems that in a bear market, diversification might actually dilute the chances of big gains.
That last line, "Everyone's scared, so I take action," sounds very cool, but honestly, where is the line between greed and courage? Sometimes, people are scared for a reason.
After five years in the crypto world, I finally understand one thing: no matter how complex the candlestick patterns are, they can't beat where the funds are flowing. I used to be a fanatic about indicators, staying up late studying MACD golden crosses and death crosses. But what happened? I made a penny in the bull market, and lost it all in the bear market. It wasn't until I gave up on wild predictions and adopted the simplest method—just watching the flow of money—that my initial 8,000 USD capital grew stubbornly to 100,000 USD.
The core strategies are three:
**First Trick: Forget technical analysis, follow the "smart money"**
The actions of the big players always lead indicators by half a beat. My daily routine now is very simple: focus on where large transfers on the chain are moving. Large movements of BTC and ETH, signs of main wallets increasing positions—these data are more honest than any moving average. See institutions accumulating? Even if there's a short-term loss, I dare to buy in batches. But if there's suddenly high volume with sideways movement? That’s just fishing, pass right by.
For example, in August when BTC dropped to 40,000 USD, on-chain data showed institutions were still aggressively accumulating. I didn’t hesitate and added to my position. As a result, the rebound in September brought a 70% increase.
**Second Trick: Diversify holdings, avoid all-in bets at all costs**
"Going all-in is an accelerator for collapse," I learned this lesson with a 300,000 USD investment. Now, my rules are strict: divide total funds into 10 parts, and never hold more than 15% in any single coin.
The process is: try a small position → confirm and add more → take profits and withdraw principal. Here’s how I do it—
Start by investing 3% of my funds. If it drops 10%, I cut losses immediately, so the loss won't exceed 0.3% of total funds. Once the trend stabilizes, I add another 5%, and move the stop-loss to the cost basis. When profits exceed 30%, I withdraw all the principal, letting the remaining profits run freely.
Most importantly: accept losses and cut meat when things go south. Don’t cling to the idea of breaking even. Clinging to that thought will kill your trading.
**Third Trick: When everyone is scared, I step in**
The most panic-stricken moments in the market are the best opportunities to buy. When others are fleeing, you stay put; when others chase high, you’ve already exited. That’s the difference between quick-profit traders and steady-profit traders.