2025-12-30 16:03:20

The year 2025 has already shattered many long-standing market participant expectations. Global economy, interest rate policies, geopolitical risks—these once considered certain assumptions are all being reevaluated this year.

From shifts in central bank policies and fluctuations in the US dollar to divergence in stock and bond performances, traditional financial markets are undergoing a systematic reassessment of assumptions. And this wave of shocks will ultimately propagate into the cryptocurrency market.

For on-chain asset prices and market cycles, every macro change is a signal. The long-term trends of mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum are often closely related to the global liquidity environment and real interest rates. These fundamental shifts in 2025 suggest that the crypto market may also be brewing new opportunities and risks.

The key is to understand the logic behind these changes— which market assumptions have truly been overturned, and which are just short-term fluctuations. This will determine subsequent trading strategies and asset allocation approaches.

BTC0,63%

ETH-0,12%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

19 Likes

Reward
19
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

Liquidated_Larry

· 01-02 15:44

Coming with this again? You said the same thing last year, and what happened? Still dancing to the Federal Reserve's tune, hilarious.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeWhisperer

· 01-02 09:57

Haha, another year of market reset. This time, is it really different? The previous logic has completely blown up. Is this truly a fundamental structural change, or just another wave of cutting leeks? That's the key. When macro moves happen, all sorts of monsters and ghosts reveal their true forms. Can BTC reach new heights?

View OriginalReply0

MEVictim

· 01-01 19:39

It's the same old story, talking about macro change signals and all that, but in the end, BTC still looks the same. After all the hype, it still comes down to the Fed's stance.

View OriginalReply0

EyeOfTheTokenStorm

· 2025-12-30 16:38

Another round of market hypothesis reassessment, my quantitative model has already flashed a red alert. The Federal Reserve's move really caught everyone off guard, and all the forecast reports from various institutions are like scrap paper. From a technical perspective, BTC's current trend is indeed forming a bottom pattern, but don't be fooled by the short-term rebound—liquidity environment is the decisive factor. I think the key is to wait for the central bank's true stance to be implemented; relying solely on market speculation makes it too easy to get in at the top and get trapped. This time is completely different from 2017. Back then, it was retail investors' frenzy from the bottom up; now it's macro-driven institutional battles, with much greater risk hidden dangers. I still recommend everyone to look more at candlestick charts and less at news—historical data never lies.

View OriginalReply0

QuietlyStaking

· 2025-12-30 16:31

When the central bank shifts its stance, the crypto market follows and jitters. This wave is really unpredictable... Interest rates, liquidity, geopolitical issues—everything feels like variables, and no one can grasp the true logic of 2025. Wait, what about those who claimed certainty? They've all been proven wrong, haha.

View OriginalReply0

Blockwatcher9000

· 2025-12-30 16:27

The macro environment has been full of twists and turns, and this time it's really different... The central bank's policy shift has led to a frenzy of dollar movements, and traditional finance is all confused. Can our crypto circle remain unaffected? What are you thinking, the baton of liquidity will be passed on.

View OriginalReply0

SquidTeacher

· 2025-12-30 16:22

This wave of macro shocks is indeed fierce. Traditional finance has already started a reshuffle. Can our crypto circle avoid it? Certainly not. When liquidity moves, the entire market has to follow. The key is to clearly distinguish between what is truly disruptive and what is just noise; otherwise, it's easy to be led astray by short-term fluctuations. BTC and ETH, the main players, are too tightly bound to macro factors. The fundamentals this year will determine how the market develops later. We need to carefully watch for the breakthrough methods; this is the window for strategic positioning.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter420

· 2025-12-30 16:11

My goodness, once again talking about fundamental changes, been saying it for over a year, but the coins still keep falling. When macro signals are unpredictable, it's better to follow the hype.

View OriginalReply0