#比特币价格走势 Watching XRP bounce back and forth within the $1.92-$2.01 range, what comes to mind are the "guaranteed rise" promises from ten years ago.

The key support level is right there—$2.00 is like a life and death line. If it falls below, funds will flood out like a dam breaking, crashing toward $1.80, or even $1.20-$1.30. This is not a prediction; it’s the reality shown by technical analysis. And the resistance at $2.20-$2.30 is not a savior either; it’s just a place where previous traders took over.

I’ve seen too many projects attract investors with the rhetoric of "solid fundamentals" and "institutional interest." Ripple obtaining a national trust bank license and ETF capital inflows are indeed significant, but the current issue isn’t about fundamentals—it's about market sentiment. A nearly 14% drop in a month, and if you still say fundamentals are solid, retail investors will only interpret that as "it hasn’t dropped enough."

The most realistic view is: this is a critical turning point. Either it rebounds from here or continues to test new lows. The pattern of repeatedly probing support levels is a common tactic used by whales to scare retail investors. Until trading volume significantly increases, don’t believe any stories of V-shaped reversals.

The secret to surviving on-chain isn’t betting on a rebound, but recognizing whether you’re participating with a gambling mentality. It’s okay to be optimistic about XRP, but first ask yourself: can you handle the risk of $1.80 or even $1.20?