#数字资产市场动态 Yesterday's market was volatile, but interestingly, the overall data from whale addresses shows net inflow. What does this imply? It’s likely still in the consolidation phase.

So, should it go up next? Not necessarily. A rise after a shakeout is possible, but not guaranteed.

The problem is that a shakeout isn’t something that happens overnight. It occurs throughout large and small phases, even during an uptrend. Shakeouts are a systematic behavior; you can't isolate a certain market segment and treat it as a strict rule for predicting rises or falls, especially when the market is still in the bottom-building stage.

What is the strategy of big players? They sell at high levels, continuously absorb during declines, cycle repeatedly, until they accumulate enough chips. The key question is—have they already accumulated enough? The answer is definitely no. Since the target hasn't been reached, the process will continue. How do they acquire more chips? The answer is simple and brutal: lower the price, make retail investors panic, despair, or even lose interest, and finally choose to exit. Notice that recently things have indeed quieted down? Fewer discussions, people are turning to stocks and gold trading. This is the result of psychological game theory. One day, when the price suddenly surges, these people who exited will rush back in to buy, and the cycle repeats.

Returning to the specific trend, if the market remains sideways without further dips, that might be the time to consider that the shakeout has ended and the probability of an upward move has increased.

But at this stage, big players are still in the process of accumulating. This process is both long and boring. So, either stay observant and trade less, or buy and hold patiently, buy on dips, and wait for that moment to arrive.

If you are still wavering, caught between cutting losses daily and trading repeatedly, it’s better to stay firm in your direction and wait patiently for the bloom to come.