#数字资产市场动态 Bitcoin prices have experienced a wave of correction, directly impacting the stock prices of major holders. Listed companies led by MicroStrategy have seen their stock prices fall by 4%. The underlying logic behind this is quite brutal—when BTC faces pressure, these companies relying on stock price premiums to finance their crypto purchases hit a snag in their 'flywheel' mechanism.
According to signals from the options market, bearish funds are increasing their bets, betting that this wave of market movement will further lower the premium rate. As the world's largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy holds approximately 670,000 BTC, accounting for about 3.2% of the circulating supply. This scale essentially ties its stock price to Bitcoin's price—its valuation dependence exceeds 95%.
But the issue isn't just short-term volatility. The company faces several pressures: MSCI intends to exclude companies with over 50% digital asset exposure from its indices, which could trigger a wave of passive fund sell-offs; at the same time, annual interest and dividend payments amount to $779 million, adding to its debt burden. Once the premium rate turns negative, bears can take advantage of the situation to short.
However, there's no need to be overly pessimistic. The company still has $2.2 billion in cash reserves for liquidity, so short-term liquidity isn't a problem. The key is to be alert to the negative feedback loop of 'crypto price decline → premium narrows → financing becomes difficult.' To make steady investments in this market, it's best to base decisions on the actual trend of Bitcoin and the rhythm of index adjustments.
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DegenRecoveryGroup
· 1h ago
MSTR this wave is a bit risky; 670,000 BTC are trapped and dead. Once the premium collapses, there's really no way out.
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GateUser-addcaaf7
· 14h ago
MSTR this wave really can't hold anymore, the flywheel cycle just keeps looping, and the bears are gaining strength.
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YieldWhisperer
· 14h ago
lol here we go again... 95% valuation dependency? that's not a business model, that's literally just a leveraged bet with extra steps. the math doesn't check out when you're running a 7.79B annual debt service on what's basically btc collateral. seen this exact death spiral pattern in 2021, just with better pr this time tbh.
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GateUser-75ee51e7
· 14h ago
Once the Micro financing flywheel stalls, it can really be frightening, with 670,000 BTC backing it up—it's just a leverage game.
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GasFeeCrier
· 14h ago
The pressure of 670,000 BTC is huge. No wonder MSTR's recent drop is so fierce, it's basically a stock version of BTC replication...
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BlockchainBouncer
· 15h ago
Micro's flywheel is really stuck, this is a bit uncomfortable now.
#数字资产市场动态 Bitcoin prices have experienced a wave of correction, directly impacting the stock prices of major holders. Listed companies led by MicroStrategy have seen their stock prices fall by 4%. The underlying logic behind this is quite brutal—when BTC faces pressure, these companies relying on stock price premiums to finance their crypto purchases hit a snag in their 'flywheel' mechanism.
According to signals from the options market, bearish funds are increasing their bets, betting that this wave of market movement will further lower the premium rate. As the world's largest publicly traded Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy holds approximately 670,000 BTC, accounting for about 3.2% of the circulating supply. This scale essentially ties its stock price to Bitcoin's price—its valuation dependence exceeds 95%.
But the issue isn't just short-term volatility. The company faces several pressures: MSCI intends to exclude companies with over 50% digital asset exposure from its indices, which could trigger a wave of passive fund sell-offs; at the same time, annual interest and dividend payments amount to $779 million, adding to its debt burden. Once the premium rate turns negative, bears can take advantage of the situation to short.
However, there's no need to be overly pessimistic. The company still has $2.2 billion in cash reserves for liquidity, so short-term liquidity isn't a problem. The key is to be alert to the negative feedback loop of 'crypto price decline → premium narrows → financing becomes difficult.' To make steady investments in this market, it's best to base decisions on the actual trend of Bitcoin and the rhythm of index adjustments.