Looking at this wave of ETH行情, the weekly chart still continues the previous evening star bearish signal. Last week closed with a small bearish candle. Although it opened higher this week, it has been weakening under pressure. The downward trendline has not been broken, so it is expected to continue being pressured and close with a bearish candle. The key support is around the 2630 level.
The daily chart now shows an interesting pattern. Structurally, it looks somewhat like a head and shoulders top. The right shoulder resistance is around 3050, roughly the same height as the left shoulder. This area is also reinforced by a trendline, creating a clear resonance. There is resistance both above and below, significantly squeezing the movement space. As the monthly candle is about to close, the true direction will depend on the monthly signal. Currently, it is just a range-bound consolidation with no clear direction.
From a volume perspective, the price repeatedly consolidates in the POC area. Treat this level as a consolidation average. Above this zone, consider short positions. The Vegas line now exerts strong resistance on the price. Although yesterday’s daily tried to break upward, it failed and closed with a shooting star, so in the short term, Vegas can be regarded as resistance.
Looking at the 4-hour chart for more clarity, the structure resembles a consolidation triangle in a downtrend. After convergence on the right side, it should continue to decline back to the initial rise point.
On the 1-hour chart, although there has been repeated pinning and oscillation, there are no good trading opportunities. My advice is to reduce trading frequency now, avoid chasing short-term trades, and wait until the monthly candle finishes to set up swing shorts at key levels above. Wait for this convergence structure to give a clear directional signal.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
13 Likes
Reward
13
5
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
SchrodingerProfit
· 1h ago
The head and shoulders top resistance is so obvious, but Vegas is still holding it down tightly. There's really no room for action. Just wait for the monthly signal and don't make any rash moves.
View OriginalReply0
Degen4Breakfast
· 17h ago
I've seen many head and shoulders top patterns, but the key is still the monthly line. Just wait and watch the show... Even if I get itchy now, I have to hold back.
View OriginalReply0
RugPullSurvivor
· 17h ago
It's another day of waiting for the monthly candle, so annoying. Right now, it's just dull consolidation; it's better to hold back for now.
---
Head and shoulders top, Vegas line double suppression, the space is squeezed tightly. If the monthly candle doesn't give a signal, don't make reckless moves.
---
This wave of ETH is just grinding, both sides are blocked. My point is, don't rush, wait for the monthly candle to give a signal.
---
What does repeated POC dulling indicate? It means they haven't decided which way to go yet. Short positions can be prepared, but don't rush to enter.
---
If you can't get past the Vegas hurdle, just consider it as the day's ceiling in the short term. Why play around before the monthly candle?
---
A downward continuation triangle, sounds like more drops. But entering now is just gambling; better to wait for a closing signal.
---
I just want to ask, if the monthly candle still doesn't give a signal, when do we have to wait until? If this drags on, it might really cause some trouble.
View OriginalReply0
ChainBrain
· 18h ago
The resonance suppression of the head and shoulders top is indeed fierce, with continuous failed breakouts at the Vegas line, which is just waiting for the monthly line to set the tone. Currently, waiting for low-frequency signals is the correct strategy; don't be fooled by the noise on the 4-hour chart.
View OriginalReply0
MerkleDreamer
· 18h ago
The head and shoulders top is about to form. Vegas is so heavily suppressed that there's no short-term opportunity. Wait for the monthly signal.
Looking at this wave of ETH行情, the weekly chart still continues the previous evening star bearish signal. Last week closed with a small bearish candle. Although it opened higher this week, it has been weakening under pressure. The downward trendline has not been broken, so it is expected to continue being pressured and close with a bearish candle. The key support is around the 2630 level.
The daily chart now shows an interesting pattern. Structurally, it looks somewhat like a head and shoulders top. The right shoulder resistance is around 3050, roughly the same height as the left shoulder. This area is also reinforced by a trendline, creating a clear resonance. There is resistance both above and below, significantly squeezing the movement space. As the monthly candle is about to close, the true direction will depend on the monthly signal. Currently, it is just a range-bound consolidation with no clear direction.
From a volume perspective, the price repeatedly consolidates in the POC area. Treat this level as a consolidation average. Above this zone, consider short positions. The Vegas line now exerts strong resistance on the price. Although yesterday’s daily tried to break upward, it failed and closed with a shooting star, so in the short term, Vegas can be regarded as resistance.
Looking at the 4-hour chart for more clarity, the structure resembles a consolidation triangle in a downtrend. After convergence on the right side, it should continue to decline back to the initial rise point.
On the 1-hour chart, although there has been repeated pinning and oscillation, there are no good trading opportunities. My advice is to reduce trading frequency now, avoid chasing short-term trades, and wait until the monthly candle finishes to set up swing shorts at key levels above. Wait for this convergence structure to give a clear directional signal.