#数字资产市场动态 December 30th $SOL Market Observation

The current price is around 124.5, showing a short-term oscillation pattern overall. The key threshold is very clear: once the price breaks above 127.5, it shifts to a bullish outlook; if it falls below 122.0, the decline accelerates downward.

**Quick Overview of Core Price Levels** (Data time 13:40)

Resistance levels above include: 126.0 (50-day moving average), 127.5 (100-day moving average and range top), 130.0 (daily structure level), 133.5 (200-day moving average).

Support levels below are: 123.0 (range bottom), 122.0 (obvious strong support), 120.0 (important platform), 117.0 (previous low).

**What Do the Indicators Say?**

On the 4-hour chart, the price is still oscillating below EMA30/100. RSI is around 39, clearly weak. MACD has a death cross below the zero line, with the histogram shrinking, indicating the bearish momentum is fading.

On the 1-hour chart? There is a rebound, but volume can't keep up. Although MACD has a golden cross, its strength is moderate, and resistance above is clear. In the short term, this rebound is weak; to turn bullish, the price needs to break through 127.5.

**Trading Strategy**

Main idea: Short at high levels during rebounds. Enter short positions in batches between 125.5 and 127.5, with the initial position at 125.5 and adding at 127.5. Set stop-loss at 130.0. First target at 123.0, second at 122.0, third at 120.0. If the level is broken, hold the position.

Secondary idea: Look for long opportunities at low levels. Between 122.0 and 123.0, wait for a 1-hour candlestick to close with a bullish candle or a long lower shadow before entering long. Stop-loss below 122.0, at 120.0 (20 points below). Targets are 124.5 and 126.0; consider exiting if resistance is encountered.

If a breakout occurs and you want to chase the move: if 127.5 is confirmed to hold (1-hour close), go long with a stop-loss at 125.0, targeting the 130-132 range. Conversely, if 122.0 breaks (confirmed by 1-hour close), go short with a stop-loss at 124.0, targeting 120-118.

**Risk Control Reminder**

Do not exceed 20% of a single strategy position; keep total position within 50%. Always enter in batches, avoid all-in bets on breakouts. Reduce positions gradually: 50% at the first target, 30% at the next, and the rest depending on whether the level is broken or not. Most importantly, wait for a 1-hour close confirmation after key levels are broken or breached, as fakeouts are common.