2025-12-30 05:41:09

#战略性加仓BTC Trader Observation: Is Bitcoin and Ethereum Really About to Rebound on 12.30?

Looking at Bitcoin's recent movements, the situation isn't complicated. The daily chart yesterday showed a green candle with an upper shadow, indicating a test of the 30-day moving average but failing to hold above it. Notice that although the price was forcibly pushed down to the key resistance level of 90,000 during the day, it quickly recovered within a short period and returned to the previous consolidation range. The current question is whether the rebound can truly take off — on the 1-hour chart, the 8.8 level is a dense resistance zone. Once it hits this area, consider short positions targeting 8.7 and 8.6, with stop-loss levels at 8.65 and 8.55 respectively.

Looking at Ethereum, yesterday's pattern was also a green candle with an upper shadow, with the 30-day moving average once again blocking upward momentum. Currently, on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, the MA lines are around the 2960-3000 price range, which acts as short-term resistance. If the price rebounds to around 3010, consider adding to short positions with a target of 2900. Support below is at the previous low of around 2900; if it breaks below this level to 2830, then switch to a long position.

**Operational Reference** (Recorded at 13:30):

**Bitcoin**: Short near 8.8, add to positions if it rebounds to 8.9, target 8.7/8.6; if it drops below 8.65 or 8.55, set a small stop-loss and try short-term longs.

**Ethereum**: Short at 2960, add to short if it reaches 3010, target 2900; if it drops to around 2900 or 2830, set a small stop-loss and switch to short-term longs.

This analytical method has a good success rate. Thanks for your attention and feedback. Feel free to discuss and share below.

BTC0,76%

ETH1,98%

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ForkTongue

· 8h ago

It's the same old story with the upper shadow, nothing new. I say this every time, but ultimately it still depends on the market's mood.

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AirdropHuntress

· 8h ago

Data shows that this rebound indeed requires caution; the 30-day moving average is holding tightly. In my opinion, don't be greedy; the 8.8 level is really a barrier.

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MoonRocketman

· 8h ago

Another test of the gravity resistance level, the standard atmospheric penetration failed, now it depends on whether it can reignite and take off again.

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FlippedSignal

· 8h ago

It's the same old trick again. The 30-day moving average is still so strong, repeatedly testing but can't hold steady. Still holding short positions. Don't rush to go long until it breaks below 8.8. Ethereum feels even more weak. Around 3010 is really a gift for shorting opportunities.

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BearMarketSurvivor

· 8h ago

It's the same old trick of upper shadow green K-line again. Can it really rebound? I remain skeptical. If it can't break 8.8, don't expect any good news. This wave of Ethereum's rebound to 3010 should start to slow down, right? I'm just worried about another false rebound, which could hit even harder. Setting stop-loss around 8.65 feels a bit tight; there's not enough room.

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