At 3 a.m., the Federal Reserve will release the detailed minutes of the last FOMC meeting, which could serve as a decisive signal for today's market movements.

The key issue is that within this meeting, there was significant controversy over the balance between inflation pressures and economic risks. The most critical question for the market boils down to: how long will the pause in the rate cut cycle last?

The crypto market has become closely coupled with Federal Reserve policies. Any statements in the minutes regarding the duration of policies or future directions will immediately impact the US dollar index, thereby altering the capital allocation logic for Bitcoin and altcoins. Currently, market sentiment is highly sensitive, and the exposure of internal disagreements could easily trigger short-term volatility, making intense fluctuations unavoidable.

Practical advice for retail investors: there's no need to stay up all night watching the market. Instead, focus on the first wave of market reactions after the opening tomorrow morning—that's when the real trading opportunities will emerge.

**Decision-making framework before the minutes are released:**

Be cautious with position adjustments before the news comes out. Wait for clear signals before taking action.

If the minutes lean hawkish (emphasizing inflation control), the crypto market may face short-term pullback pressure; if they lean dovish (raising concerns about economic slowdown), the market might get a breather.

During this time window, managing your mindset is more important than technical analysis. Every decision should align with the market rhythm, rather than relying on luck.