Recently, I saw the recent market movement of ZBT, and many people are asking whether to jump in. Honestly, I’ve been involved in this market for nearly ten years and have seen too many scenarios like this—seemingly aggressive price surges often driven by the main players’ careful planning behind the scenes.

Is the rapid price increase truly due to positive fundamentals? To be honest, most of the time it’s not. When the main players put in such a big effort to push the price up, their only goal is to transfer chips to the hands of the buyers at a higher price. This logic is straightforward.

So how can we judge whether the current rally still has room to run or has already entered the distribution phase? Here are two practical signals for everyone. First, look at the stagnation phenomenon: the price’s upward momentum begins to slow down or even stagnate, but trading volume continues to increase, which usually indicates that large funds are quietly reducing their positions. Second, observe the shrinking volume: the price starts to move sideways or slightly decline, but trading volume decreases steadily. This is a typical sign of capital fleeing. When both signals appear simultaneously, be extremely cautious.

The recent performance of SOL and ZEC is also worth paying attention to. These two coins have experienced significant fluctuations lately, leading many to speculate whether the market is shifting. The core remains the same: ultimately, the crypto market is driven by liquidity, and the Federal Reserve’s policy signals are the real variables influencing the long-term direction. Short-term volatility can be intense, but the overall trend is often determined by macro factors.

In summary, chasing the rally requires caution, especially in rapid upward movements without fundamental support. If you’re planning to position for short or contrarian trades, make sure you have a full understanding and capacity to bear the risks. For beginners, it’s best to observe first.