The trend on the candlestick chart is like a sleeping caterpillar; behind the narrow fluctuations, a big post-holiday market movement may be brewing.
The Christmas holiday has arrived, and Wall Street traders have already put down their phones to go skiing. Traditional financial markets are basically at a standstill. However, the cryptocurrency market operates 24/7. During this period, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between $86,000 and $89,000, while Ethereum is hovering around the critical line of $2900 to $3000.
The seemingly uneventful market can easily lead people to think that the market is just "killing time." But my years of experience tell me that seemingly boring行情 often hide the secrets to making money after the holiday. Today, I will share the method I use to find profit signals during the market "quiet period."
**The Invisible Killer of Liquidity**
Liquidity drying up during Christmas is obvious. The open interest of BTC perpetual contracts on a major exchange shrank by about $3 billion overnight, and ETH perpetual contracts also evaporated by about $2 billion. This indicates that the market is actively deleveraging, not adding positions.
Does low liquidity mean no volatility? Quite the opposite. The thinner the liquidity, the easier it is for price fluctuations to be amplified. You may have seen those outrageous flash crashes—Bitcoin suddenly dropping from $87,600 to $24,100, then bouncing back within minutes. Such "flash candles" occur much more frequently in environments with depleted liquidity.
**How I Respond**
The most straightforward approach is to reduce your position size, controlling it below 50%, leaving only core holdings. During such tight liquidity, frequent trading will eat up most of your profits through fees and slippage. Instead of messing around, it’s better to lie low and wait. When the post-holiday market direction becomes clear, then take action.
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ruggedSoBadLMAO
· 9h ago
Narrow-range consolidation can indeed be numbingly dull, but you really need to be cautious about liquidity; a flash crash is no joke.
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UncleWhale
· 10h ago
The market in a daze is the most damn dangerous; once liquidity dries up, it's a death trap.
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HodlKumamon
· 10h ago
Hmm… When liquidity dries up, it's actually easier to have a flash crash. I agree with this logic. Holding 50% of your position is indeed a good insurance (◍•ᴗ•◍)
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$3 billion in open interest evaporated overnight. Bearish traders think this is the most dangerous signal...
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Instead of messing around blindly, it's better to wait until the direction is clear. This advice hits the nail on the head. Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) is the way to go.
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Narrow-range fluctuations hiding big opportunities? I actually think it might just be "killing time." Don't overthink it.
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Hold onto your core positions, and leave the rest to time. Bearish traders believe that once we endure, the sky's the limit.
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With liquidity so tight, frequent trading is basically just giving away transaction fees to the exchange.
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[Thoughtful Tip] If a flash crash occurs this time, it could be a rare opportunity to add to your position. Statistically, it's very valuable.
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Caterpillars will eventually become butterflies. The question is, can we live until that day? hhh
View OriginalReply0
ExpectationFarmer
· 10h ago
That's right, we're in the waiting phase now. Don't be fooled by the market fluctuations.
View OriginalReply0
MEV_Whisperer
· 10h ago
Pretending to rest, but actually watching the market. Do you understand?
View OriginalReply0
ser_we_are_early
· 10h ago
I get the point about narrow-range fluctuations, but if I really want to make money, I guess I have to wait for liquidity to return after the holiday. Right now, with this volume, playing anything is just giving away money.
View OriginalReply0
LiquidationKing
· 10h ago
Damn, with such low liquidity, how dare you trade frequently? You're just giving money to the exchange.
The trend on the candlestick chart is like a sleeping caterpillar; behind the narrow fluctuations, a big post-holiday market movement may be brewing.
The Christmas holiday has arrived, and Wall Street traders have already put down their phones to go skiing. Traditional financial markets are basically at a standstill. However, the cryptocurrency market operates 24/7. During this period, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between $86,000 and $89,000, while Ethereum is hovering around the critical line of $2900 to $3000.
The seemingly uneventful market can easily lead people to think that the market is just "killing time." But my years of experience tell me that seemingly boring行情 often hide the secrets to making money after the holiday. Today, I will share the method I use to find profit signals during the market "quiet period."
**The Invisible Killer of Liquidity**
Liquidity drying up during Christmas is obvious. The open interest of BTC perpetual contracts on a major exchange shrank by about $3 billion overnight, and ETH perpetual contracts also evaporated by about $2 billion. This indicates that the market is actively deleveraging, not adding positions.
Does low liquidity mean no volatility? Quite the opposite. The thinner the liquidity, the easier it is for price fluctuations to be amplified. You may have seen those outrageous flash crashes—Bitcoin suddenly dropping from $87,600 to $24,100, then bouncing back within minutes. Such "flash candles" occur much more frequently in environments with depleted liquidity.
**How I Respond**
The most straightforward approach is to reduce your position size, controlling it below 50%, leaving only core holdings. During such tight liquidity, frequent trading will eat up most of your profits through fees and slippage. Instead of messing around, it’s better to lie low and wait. When the post-holiday market direction becomes clear, then take action.