Cryptocurrency markets can indeed be profitable, but most people turn it into a "probability game."

I've been doing market analysis in this industry for 8 years and have seen too many regretful stories. Some stay up all night watching the charts until their eyes turn red, starting with 500 yuan and ending up with only 30 yuan in half a month; some rush into a "divine coin," only to have the team disappear; others make a little profit and then gamble recklessly, only to return to the starting point overnight.

The most memorable case was a beginner trader I mentored last year, who just learned to read candlestick charts and had only 500 yuan in starting capital. He followed my instructions without any luck-based thinking, and his account grew to 20,000 yuan—40 times the initial amount. Even more impressive, his single-loss never exceeded 5% along the way. This is not luck, but the power of method.

**Where is the core difference? Position management.**

The most common way to lose everything is to go all-in in one shot. I and all my students follow this strict position division rule: the 500 yuan should be allocated as follows: 150 yuan as "life-saving fund," 230 yuan as "main attack team," and 120 yuan for "quick trade." These ratios are tested with real money.

The short-term flexible position (120 yuan) only trades top coins like BTC, ETH, BNB. I have used this position to trade BTC, selling half when it gains 40% to lock in profits, and setting a break-even line for the rest. When the price retraced, I neither lost nor did I give up profits—in fact, I protected them. Greedy people don't last long.

The medium-term position (230 yuan) only moves when specific signals appear. Either a key support level on the daily chart holds for more than 3 days with increased volume, or...