Looking back now, it would have been great if I had understood this logic a few years earlier.

Observing market sentiment is the most reliable indicator for entry and exit points. You see, when everyone is shouting about a rally and actively defending the assets they recently bought (these coins often have already been rising for several weeks), it's time to take profits and exit or admit you've missed out. Conversely, when the market doesn't care and holders feel regretful about buying after a prolonged rise, it's often a sign that a value dip has appeared.

Most retail traders lose money because their pattern is quite consistent — they need to see the price going up to feel confident, so they dare to place orders. Smart money, on the other hand, does the opposite: quietly enters when no one is paying attention, and starts to sell when the wind picks up.

Remember: you can never catch the absolute bottom or sell at the absolute top. But you can judge based on emotional cycles. When prices are at the bottom, the market is filled with panic — this is often a good time to buy. When prices surge and greed spreads, it's usually a good time to sell and lock in profits. Learning to operate counter to market emotions is more effective than any technical indicator.