When will the Lighter token be issued? Currently, several platforms including a major exchange and Hyperliquid have opened pre-market trading, and the data from the prediction market is quite interesting —> the "NO" options with over 6B and 8B in volume have already exceeded 95%. Many people may not yet understand the settlement logic of the prediction market. The key point is this: if there is no TGE before January 1, 2026, the system will automatically determine it as "NO." In this light, is Lighter trying to use the prediction market mechanism to generate buzz? It seems to have some manipulation intentions.
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HodlKumamon
· 10h ago
Hmm... This 95% NO ratio indeed indicates something; data doesn't lie.
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Wait, isn't this logic a bit reversed? The more people bet NO, the easier it is to stir up the topic.
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熊熊 feels like putting a loudspeaker in a casino, telling everyone "This market is cold," and as a result, everyone starts betting.
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Haha, prediction markets themselves are the best generators of buzz; now the counter-question is clear.
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Honestly, looking at this market setup, it does feel a bit like "You guys try betting and see if it will be issued."
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So the core question remains—when will it be issued, everyone?
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>6B, >8B are all NO... Lighter must be very clear about their current situation.
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I want to see how they would explain if it really gets issued on time and 95% of people bet NO.
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GateUser-5854de8b
· 19h ago
This trading flavor is indeed strong. What does it mean when 95% of the market predicts NO? It just means everyone is collectively pessimistic.
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Wait, does it only count in January 2026? That timeline is set quite long. Lighter, are you trying to bet on the market's poor memory?
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The fact that the NO option is so popular indicates that everyone doesn't believe TGE will happen. This really says a lot.
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Using prediction markets to generate hype does have some flavor, but on the other hand, this logic is too obvious.
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Are the 95% betting on no? Are the remaining 5% truly believers or just gamblers?
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It feels like Lighter is playing with fire. Using prediction markets to attract attention is way too common.
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Setting the settlement rules like this, isn't it hinting at something? Quite interesting.
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ImpermanentPhilosopher
· 19h ago
Very experienced in trading, 95% of NOs is simply outrageous...
TGE is nowhere in sight, huh? This tactic really understands human nature.
The prediction market now is just a gamble, Lighter's marketing this round is good.
Wait, isn't this logic reversed? Actually issuing tokens might lead to losses?
It's a bit uncertain, feels like another scheme of a Ponzi scheme.
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TokenTherapist
· 19h ago
This tactic is way too obvious. What does predicting a 95% NO in the market imply?
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Wait, the settlement isn't until January 2026? That's a really long time to wait.
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Manipulating the market is just creating a sense of anxiety. Anyway, it boosts the topic’s popularity.
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Can you just directly state the TGE date? Why rely on prediction markets to hype it up?
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What does 95% NO mean? The market actually isn't optimistic at all.
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This marketing approach is really clever—using prediction markets as a tool to attract attention.
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I just want to know if the Lighter team profited during the trading session. The operation feels too obvious.
When will the Lighter token be issued? Currently, several platforms including a major exchange and Hyperliquid have opened pre-market trading, and the data from the prediction market is quite interesting —> the "NO" options with over 6B and 8B in volume have already exceeded 95%. Many people may not yet understand the settlement logic of the prediction market. The key point is this: if there is no TGE before January 1, 2026, the system will automatically determine it as "NO." In this light, is Lighter trying to use the prediction market mechanism to generate buzz? It seems to have some manipulation intentions.