Crypto coin selection and timing are issues that almost every trader has asked about. It may seem complicated, but in reality, it’s just the interplay of four elements: logic, decisiveness, rhythm, and discipline.

My screening approach is as follows: at the open, scan the top gainers, especially coins that have experienced significant fluctuations and a surge in trading volume in the past two weeks. Capital flows where the opportunities are. I generally avoid coins that have been stagnant for a long time.

Direction judgment relies on the monthly chart. Daily K-line movements are mostly noise; the true trend is hidden in the monthly chart. When the MACD monthly line crosses above, it indicates that the major trend has indeed started. Follow the trend; this is when returns are more stable.

Enter at the 60-day moving average. After setting the overall direction, look at the specific position on the daily K-line chart. If the price falls back near the 60-day moving average and stabilizes, with increased volume, that’s a good window for heavy positioning. Costs are clear, and risks are controllable.

Stop-loss is non-negotiable. As long as the price doesn’t break below the support above the 60-day moving average, regardless of whether the account is in profit or loss, you must sell if it does. Protecting capital is essential to survive and participate in the next cycle.

Reducing positions should also be done in batches. When floating profits exceed 30%, take half off to lock in gains; at 50%, sell half again. The remaining position is held with the profits earned, reducing psychological pressure.

Many people think this set of rules is too rigid, but the crypto market actually needs this discipline. Without execution, the final result is often lessons learned from the market. Conversely, closely following the trend, sticking to positions, and strictly enforcing discipline will always be rewarded by the market.

Markets change daily; the key is to preserve chips, lock in critical moments, and patiently wait for the next cycle.