The prediction contract on Polymarket regarding whether Lighter will complete the airdrop before December 31 has been very popular recently. Those who entered yesterday have basically doubled their investment, and the market's bullish sentiment on this event is quite strong. However, looking at this yield rate, it is indeed tempting, but I still didn't dare to go all-in. These time-based prediction trades can be highly volatile in the short term, doubling quickly but also carrying significant risks. Either you have strong confidence in the project's timeline planning, or you have to accept the possibility of losses. It's a bit of a pity not to participate more aggressively, but caution is never wrong.

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nft_widowvip
· 16h ago
The temptation to double is real, but I've long learned not to follow the trend with this kind of timing, afraid of getting crushed.
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ApeWithAPlanvip
· 16h ago
Really, this kind of timing chart is the easiest to get chopped, quick to double, but maybe one day the dream will shatter.
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SignatureVerifiervip
· 16h ago
ngl, the validation metrics on these time-gated predictions are... insufficient. everyone's chasing the 2x without actually auditing the project's delivery track record. technically speaking, there's a critical vulnerability threshold here—deadline slippage is statistically improbable until it happens. missed the trade but honestly? that's the whole point. trust but verify, not trust and fomo.
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GasFeeWhisperervip
· 16h ago
The chance to double up is gone just like that, so exhausting.
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MetaDreamervip
· 16h ago
Doubled? Oh my, why didn't I sell yesterday? Now I regret it.
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MEV_Whisperervip
· 16h ago
Doubled, what should I do about FOMO yesterday... By the way, can Lighter deliver this broken thing on time? Betting on this is too exciting.
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