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Gold and silver breakout imminent, what do economists think?

Renowned economist and bestselling author Jim Rickards recently made a bold prediction: 2026 could be a turning point for precious metals. What is his forecast? Gold soaring to $10,000 per ounce, silver approaching $200.

Current market data is already telling the story. Spot silver just broke through $73, hitting a record high; gold remains above $4,500. Even more interesting, the gold-silver ratio has fallen to 61.6, the lowest in the past decade. Many see this ratio imbalance and are actually asking: Is silver undervalued?

There are several reasons supporting Rickards' judgment. First, global central banks continue to increase their gold reserves, with no signs of stopping. Second, more and more institutions—sovereign wealth funds, university endowments—are adjusting their asset allocations, increasing their holdings of precious metals. Looking at the international situation, Europe's disposal of Russian assets has sparked a global rethink: Are dollar assets and U.S. Treasuries really that safe? In the face of such uncertainty, gold's appeal is rising.

A detail worth noting: the price ratio between paper silver and physical silver is as high as 100:1. Behind this huge gap, the story of physical scarcity is being written. Rickards' logic is simple and straightforward: "Limited supply, rising demand, institutional rebalancing, geopolitical risks—these factors combined make it not a fantasy that gold will break $10,000 and silver will hit $200 by 2026."

The question is: will this prediction come true? What do market participants think? Perhaps this is the most noteworthy precious metals story of the year.