【Chain Wen】An interesting viewpoint has sparked discussion in the investment community—Is Bitcoin really just a volatility monster? Not necessarily. A research team from a leading digital asset management institution recently conducted a model calculation, using relatively conservative assumptions. The results point to a bold conclusion: if this logic is extrapolated to 2035, the price of Bitcoin could reach $1.3 million.
In other words, these professionals believe that Bitcoin is not just a highly volatile speculative asset, but has the potential to become one of the most lucrative assets in the next decade. Of course, this is based on their conservative assumptions—what exactly those assumptions are and what the risk margins look like are open to interpretation. But regardless, this long-term bullish outlook from an institutional perspective is worth paying attention to.
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SchroedingerMiner
· 12-29 13:43
1.3 million USD? Alright, anyway they said conservative so I’ll just believe it haha
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The institution really dares to shout out, I’m just afraid it’s another dance before cutting the leeks
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Ten years to multiply tenfold, sounds pretty good, but I don’t know if I’ll live to see that day
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Conservative assumption? I think that phrase is used quite skillfully
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So should I go all in now or run away? Please give me a definite answer
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Here we go again with the story, I might as well keep mining
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How is this model calculated? Can it be shown? Don’t tell me it’s just on paper again
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I trusted you guys, but it got cut again. Why is it different this time?
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130K... I believe, but my wallet doesn’t.
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DegenWhisperer
· 12-29 03:16
1.3 million? Man, how "conservative" is your conservative assumption?
Bitcoin's most profitable decade? Well, it depends on who holds it.
Institutions say they're bullish, so I just want to know how much they've accumulated themselves.
Stop, stop, first ask if this assumption accounts for policy black swan events.
This logic sounds like storytelling, not building a model.
Ten years is too damn long; who can guarantee anything?
My take on conservative assumptions is that they are conservatively overestimated.
Regarding institutional models, I usually choose to believe them selectively.
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FlippedSignal
· 12-26 15:16
1.3 million USD? Dreaming, right? A conservative assumption is already outrageous.
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Once again, it's institutions telling stories. Who actually believes it?
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Honestly, claiming a ten-year multiple increase, where's the risk?
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Wait, what exactly is this assumption? Feels like it can be made up.
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Let's just survive this bear market first, brother.
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Are all institutional bullish signals correct? I don't think so.
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2035? I only care if it drops next year.
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Conservative assumptions sound good, but what about in reality?
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Anyone can boast; show me the data.
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Interesting, finally someone dares to tell the truth.
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130K? I bet five bucks I won't reach it.
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PanicSeller
· 12-26 15:16
1.3 million USD? Haha, here comes another big rally
I've heard this kind of rhetoric from institutions too many times; conservative assumptions are often the least conservative
Wait, will this time be different? I can't say for sure
How about we first see when they started building their positions
Ten years is too long; I just want to make money now
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ImpermanentLossFan
· 12-26 15:15
$1.3 million? Dream on, the assumptions must be pretty outrageous to come up with that...
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Institutions say it's a conservative assumption, but I think it's just an optimistic assumption. Don't be fooled, brother.
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Instead of looking at their models, why not look at what BTC has experienced over the past ten years? Will history repeat itself?
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Come on, who can tell me how exactly this conservative assumption is conservative? I feel like it's a bit too outrageous.
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Typical institutional rhetoric: first throw out a big number to grab attention, then shift the blame with some subjective reasoning. Very clever.
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The most profitable investment in ten years? Stop it. If you believe that, it's just ridiculous.
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I don't deny the potential, but the $1.3 million figure is indeed a bit too outrageous, a little too idealistic.
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Looks very professional and mathematical, but it just feels like a conclusion built on assumptions.
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So the question is, have these people’s historical predictions been accurate? I don't quite remember.
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Wake up, don’t be fooled by the long-term bullish outlook from institutions. The volatility is still fierce.
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DegenApeSurfer
· 12-26 15:12
1.3 million USD? Is it a dream or is it real? I bet this number will be heavily discounted with 5 ETH.
Can Bitcoin really be this strong after ten years? It feels like the old trick of institutions hyping up the market.
A conservative assumption, right? Then I’ll also make a conservative assumption that these people will be proven wrong next year.
Institutions say they are bullish, so they must be reliable? Why do I always get caught?
Alright, anyway, I’ve already gone all-in. Bankruptcy or getting rich, this is the decade.
This logic is full of flaws; the risk margin is not calculated clearly at all.
2035? I might already be lying flat by then. It really doesn’t matter.
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AirdropHunterXM
· 12-26 15:07
$1.3 million? Ha, these institutions are dreaming again.
I don't believe you, models are easy to calculate, the real market is the boss.
Wait... could it really reach that... never mind, I'll get on board.
If the assumptions aren't clarified, how can I believe it?
Ten-year returns the most impressive? Are they bragging or do they really have this ability?
View OriginalReply0
0xSunnyDay
· 12-26 15:02
$1.3 million? Sounds pretty exciting, but how conservative does that assumption have to be haha
Institutions are so bullish, what does that mean... Anyway, the more I hear, the more I feel I need to get in
I’m a bit skeptical about the term "conservative assumption," where are the details?
Making this much in ten years, I’m starting to feel the pressure
Why do I find this logic a bit convincing, oh no
Will Bitcoin become the most profitable investment in the next ten years? A leading asset management firm has this to say
【Chain Wen】An interesting viewpoint has sparked discussion in the investment community—Is Bitcoin really just a volatility monster? Not necessarily. A research team from a leading digital asset management institution recently conducted a model calculation, using relatively conservative assumptions. The results point to a bold conclusion: if this logic is extrapolated to 2035, the price of Bitcoin could reach $1.3 million.
In other words, these professionals believe that Bitcoin is not just a highly volatile speculative asset, but has the potential to become one of the most lucrative assets in the next decade. Of course, this is based on their conservative assumptions—what exactly those assumptions are and what the risk margins look like are open to interpretation. But regardless, this long-term bullish outlook from an institutional perspective is worth paying attention to.