2025-12-26 14:25:54

Bitcoin's annual performance tells quite a story when you look at the bigger picture. From 2011 through 2024, the pattern becomes unmistakable: most years we see upside, but every few years the market takes a breather.

The record shows a clear rhythm—2011, 2012, 2013 all green. Then 2014 pulled back. But recovery came in 2015-2017 with strong gains. 2018 saw another correction. Then 2019-2021 delivered three solid years of returns. Last cycle: 2022 down, 2023-2024 back up.

Look at the gaps between the down years—roughly 4 years apart (2014, 2018, 2022). It's not random. Bitcoin's built-in halving cycle, macro conditions, and sentiment shifts create this rhythm. Spot the pattern yet? Understanding these waves matters for anyone tracking crypto market cycles.

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NFTregretter

· 5h ago

A four-year cycle? Ha, I was knocked down back in 2014. Luckily, I didn't go all-in.

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NewPumpamentals

· 12-28 14:27

Four years per cycle, can we avoid it this time? --- Is 2026 the cursed year? I bet you all have to run. --- Basically, it's just about the halving cycle, nothing mysterious. --- This pattern can be confirmed by backtesting, but using it now results in heavy losses. --- Wait, you said a 4-year interval... then 2026 is coming again? --- Those who understand know, the key is how many bullets are left in the next bear market. --- It seems that the "patterns" that can be seen now have already been priced in. --- When the bull market arrives, everyone becomes an analyst, which is useless.

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MetaMaskVictim

· 12-26 14:56

A cycle every four years, it's time to fall again, isn't it?

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Anon32942

· 12-26 14:54

Four-year cycle? Sounds pretty impressive, but I still got caught holding the bag during the 2022 wave haha --- The halving cycle theory has been overused for a long time; the key is whether macro conditions will cooperate --- 2014, 2018, 2022, there’s definitely something there... but next time is 2026, right? I’ve already been stocking up --- No matter how nicely you put it, one fact remains: no one can predict what will happen next year --- So are you trying to tell me whether I should buy in now or wait? Don’t keep me in suspense, brother

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ContractFreelancer