Bitcoin has fallen from 126,000 and has been consolidating for over 80 days. This time period is a turning point for the market.

From the current situation, shorting is definitely unwise - it's like catching the tail of a fish, still far from the real opportunity. The most optimistic scenario is to finish this last fall and then recover to initiate a daily trend.

Throughout the year, significant daily fluctuations in the market are actually rare. When they occur, they should be seized. According to the current pace, the adjustment phase should last about another week. After that, we should be able to see the start of the next market trend.

As for whether it will be a bull or bear market in the end, it's still hard to draw a conclusion. However, from a probabilistic perspective, the certainty of a 20-point rebound is quite high. There hasn't been much operation in the live market, mainly just waiting for two signals—either continuing to fall or breaking upwards. Everything is in a state of buildup.

Recently, there are no other viewpoints to share, as all focus is on my own trading opportunities. Patience is key, just waiting for that decisive moment to strike. When there are no market movements, I'll come back to chat.