Mid-December snapshot on the 'Nothing Ever Happens' prediction market over at Polymarket shows some striking moves. The YES side has climbed hard—jumping from 50% to 84% since the start of the month, that's a solid 34-point jump. Anyone positioned on the thesis that Venezuela holds steady and Bitcoin keeps rangebound is already in the green.
Will this momentum flip? Pretty unlikely at this stage. The conviction behind these odds suggests market participants are pricing in continued stability on both fronts. Worth keeping tabs on how this plays out through year-end.
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LiquidityOracle
· 2h ago
84% is almost there, it should have been like this... This setup is a bit too stable.
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ForkLibertarian
· 2h ago
84% completed? Bro, this move is a bit outrageous... Venezuela stabilizing and consolidating with Bitcoin, feels like the market is getting too confident.
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GasFeeCry
· 2h ago
Taking off with just 34 points, do these people really bet on stability? I just want to see how they get embarrassed by the end of the year.
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AirdropAutomaton
· 2h ago
84%? That's a pretty strong increase, but honestly, stability is always a contrarian indicator.
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GetRichLeek
· 2h ago
Pulling 34 points straight up? This is a move by the big players... Oh my god. I just saw 50% this morning and was thinking of catching the dip, but I was forced in by FOMO. Now I really don't know what to do.
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DaisyUnicorn
· 2h ago
84%... These flowers are blooming a bit too aggressively; it feels like the market is betting that "nothing will happen," but I always get the feeling that these extreme scenarios are the most likely to be proven wrong.
Mid-December snapshot on the 'Nothing Ever Happens' prediction market over at Polymarket shows some striking moves. The YES side has climbed hard—jumping from 50% to 84% since the start of the month, that's a solid 34-point jump. Anyone positioned on the thesis that Venezuela holds steady and Bitcoin keeps rangebound is already in the green.
Will this momentum flip? Pretty unlikely at this stage. The conviction behind these odds suggests market participants are pricing in continued stability on both fronts. Worth keeping tabs on how this plays out through year-end.