On December 14, in the prediction market Kalshi for “What is the best AI by the end of 2025,” the probability of Google CEX winning increased to 86%, OpenAI’s ChatGPT has an 8% chance of winning, and xAI’s Grok has a 6% chance of winning. The trading volume for this prediction market has reached $14.08 million. Notably, at the beginning of this year, the probability of CEX winning was 30%, ChatGPT was 41%, and Grok was 14%. The final settlement of this prediction market will be based on the LM Arena leaderboard data.
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In the Kalshi prediction of "What is the best AI by the end of 2025," the probability of CEX winning has increased to 86%.
On December 14, in the prediction market Kalshi for “What is the best AI by the end of 2025,” the probability of Google CEX winning increased to 86%, OpenAI’s ChatGPT has an 8% chance of winning, and xAI’s Grok has a 6% chance of winning. The trading volume for this prediction market has reached $14.08 million. Notably, at the beginning of this year, the probability of CEX winning was 30%, ChatGPT was 41%, and Grok was 14%. The final settlement of this prediction market will be based on the LM Arena leaderboard data.