Why Trading Is Not a Game of Chance

Many people enter the market with a feeling of completely random trading. Today winning, tomorrow losing, accounts fluctuating like flipping a coin. But in reality, the problem isn’t with the market — it’s with how you trade. Imagine flipping a coin 10 times. The result might be 7 heads and 3 tails. It’s easy to think that “luck” is favoring one side. But if you flip 1,000 times, the results will gradually approach 50–50. Probability truly only reveals itself when the number of trials is large enough. Trading operates under similar logic. A few winning trades don’t prove you’re good, just as a few losing trades don’t mean you’re bad. The important thing is: does your strategy fit the market? If the strategy is correct: More trades help statistical advantage take effectLong-term results will become stable and profitable But if the strategy is wrong: The more you trade, the greater the lossesEach trade is just a repeat of the same mistake Therefore, many trades don’t necessarily mean many profits. Only when you have a proven system, clear risk management, and understand the market you’re participating in, does increasing the number of trades make sense. The market is not a casino. But if you trade without a strategy, you’re just turning yourself into a gambler betting on luck.