2025-12-04 14:50:18

#ETH走势分析 $ETH

A few days of gains and people are already calling it a bull market? My view remains the same—we’re still in a bear market cycle. The monthly chart has already formed a high-level death cross, which means we’re likely to be stuck in a consolidation phase for at least six months to a year. So don’t think about holding long-term; once you catch a rebound at the weekly level, it’s time to exit.

Looking at historical patterns, weekly rebounds are usually triggered in two ways: either a daily chart bullish divergence drives the rebound, or after two consecutive months of sideways movement without breaking lower, an upward move starts. Which one does ETH fall into now? That’s something worth considering. The technical patterns are right there—match them up for yourself.

Record from the evening of December 4

ETH-2.65%

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MoonRocketman

· 22h ago

A dead cross on the monthly chart is just that—a dead cross. This time, you really need to build up patience. Who can endure six months to a year of grinding? The weekly chart’s rebound window hasn’t fully opened yet; you need to wait for that trigger signal, so don’t rush to jump in. On the daily chart, it’s either a bearish divergence or a sideways breakdown—one of the two. Right now, it still seems to be lacking that final push. You need to change your bottom-fishing mindset. Take profits on rebounds—don’t dream about catching the absolute bottom. The monthly chart has already given the answer; the technicals are right there, so make your own call. Grinding out a bottom for half a year? You’ll need to keep detailed records—every retreat timing could determine success or failure. If there’s no launch window, don’t mess with your positions. Wait until the trigger conditions are mature. The bear market cycle is confirmed without a doubt. If you’re greedy, you’ll end up paying tuition sooner or later.

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ForkInTheRoad

· 22h ago

After just a few days of gains, people are already fantasizing about a bull market. They've really never seen the world.

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SnapshotLaborer

· 22h ago

I don't even have to think about it, this is just a rebound—don't get fooled. --- A monthly death cross lasts at least half a year, how are there still people calling for a bull market? So bold. --- Wait, is ETH showing bullish divergence at the bottom now or just moving sideways? I can't figure it out. --- Sell at the rebound, I agree with this logic. Don't dream of getting rich by catching the bottom. --- It's that "I've seen through it all" attitude again, they say this every time. --- A monthly death cross at a high level is indeed a strong signal, it's a bit unsettling. --- Half a year to a year? That's too pessimistic, the market isn't that predictable. --- How do you judge a weekly rebound, just study technical patterns and figure it out yourself? No wonder you lose money. --- I've heard "sell at the rebound" so many times, the key is knowing when the rebound happens. --- Stop guessing, just wait for the data to speak.

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GasFeeSurvivor

· 22h ago

After just a few days of gains, you’re already fantasizing. That’s a classic case of crypto FOMO.

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