**The Most Aggressive Rate Cut Expectations Yet? Hassett Might Rewrite the Rules of the Game**

If that 86% betting probability on Polymarket is reliable, we might really be witnessing the birth of a "rate cut maniac."

Hassett’s approach is simple and direct: Government shutdown dragging down economic growth? Cut rates. Inflation data not that scary? Keep cutting. His target rate could head straight below 3%, possibly even approaching 1%. With the recent end of quantitative tightening, there’s a high likelihood that balance sheet expansion will restart—this combo is basically an open invitation for risk assets.

What’s even more interesting is his connection to the crypto world. This guy once held millions of dollars in stock on a compliant platform, served as an advisor, and has publicly said that Bitcoin would “reshape the financial game.” With someone like this at the helm of the Fed, it’s hard not to wonder: Is the real crypto bull run only just beginning?

Of course, expectations are just expectations. Until policies are implemented, it’s all just a script. How the market moves will depend on real actions.

(Risk warning: Don’t treat predictions as outcomes. Markets carry risks—enter with caution.)