"I only trade three types of market conditions, I don't touch anything else"


Reflections after earning eight figures in the crypto space!

After years of trading, my biggest takeaway isn't just about mastering techniques—it's about daring to eliminate any market conditions I don't understand.

At the end of the day, trading isn't about who analyzes more, but about who can stick to only trading what they truly understand.

Personally, I only trade three types of market conditions; I don't touch anything else.

First: Pullback confirmation after a trend breakout
After a strong upward move, the price pulls back but doesn't break the core structure. Volume contracts, the pullback approaches the previous high or support, and then the price rallies again.
Entering at this point means entering the "safe zone" after trend confirmation. The danger is when you can't wait for confirmation and rush to chase the price.

The danger is when you can't wait for confirmation and rush to chase the price.

Second: False breakdown with volume at the lower end of a range
During sideways consolidation, there is a sudden increase in volume breaking below support, but the price quickly rebounds, creating a false breakout.
I only enter after a pullback confirmation and subsequent breakout, combined with volume-price divergence or order book anomalies.
Missing out is fine; what's risky is thinking it's the bottom and catching a falling knife instead of a real rebound.

Third: Strong breakout after mid-trend shakeout
After a period of upward movement, the price starts to consolidate or retrace, with multiple fake-out moves, but key support holds, followed by renewed acceleration.
I add to my position when key support stabilizes and a short-term breakout occurs. If I'm wrong, I can accept it—what matters is entering at a spot where I can still exit safely.
I don't try to pick tops, guess bottoms, or chase pumps. I only trade scenarios that have been validated by my own system and data.

For any market conditions outside these three types, I stay in cash or walk away entirely.
Some say this means missing out on many opportunities.
I don't deny that. But what I want isn't to "trade more"—I want to "last longer."

Trading has never been about who can catch more moves, but about who loses less, makes fewer mistakes, and survives longer.
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