Why Bitcoin Could Hit $300K by 2030: The Supply Story Nobody's Talking About

BTC just took a 26% dip from its October peak, and the FUD is everywhere. But here’s the thing—if you zoom out, the macro picture hasn’t changed one bit.

The Real Play: Scarcity Meets Money Printing

Bitcoin’s secret sauce isn’t hype. It’s simple math: 21 million cap, forever. No backdoors, no exceptions.

Meanwhile, look at what central banks are doing. In just 15 years, the M2 money supply of the world’s four biggest central banks ballooned by 145%. Debt keeps climbing. There’s zero sign of this stopping.

When you pit a hard-capped asset against infinite fiat expansion, the outcome isn’t complicated. Bitcoin’s historical rally? That’s just the beginning of this game.

Returns Are Slowing Down (And That’s OK)

Let’s be real: Since mid-November 2020, BTC pumped 416%—that’s a 39% compound annual growth rate. Insane.

But as Bitcoin matures, expect the velocity to shift down. Massive 300%+ years won’t be the norm anymore. Still, tripling to ~$300K by 2030? That’s not FOMO math. That’s just following the trend.

The Bigger Picture

If you caught Netflix when analysts first backed it in 2004, a $1K investment turned into $562K. Nvidia in 2005? $1K became $1.1M. Early positioning in transformative assets compounds like nothing else.

Bitcoin isn’t competing with stocks. It’s competing with fiat currency itself.