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At UTC time 2025-12-01 00:00:00, there will be a big dump.
First, the conclusion: Monthly closing, automatic delivery, holiday vacuum.
It is not caused by a sudden event like a black swan (, but rather by the failure to break through the monthly closing in late November, combined with the automatic delivery at expiration. This coincided with the Thanksgiving long weekend when institutional market makers were on holiday, leading to a weak order depth, and a small amount of selling pressure triggered a sharp price fluctuation. In the long run, this is just a fluctuation in the process of rising.