#ETH走势分析 It took me eight years to go from 20,000 to 50,000,000.

Many people think this is luck. But looking back, what supports this curve are three lines and three dead rules.

Sounds earthy? Maybe it's precisely because it's so earthy that it has survived to this day.

**The core message is: Understanding the direction is more important than predicting the rise and fall.**

The 50-day moving average controls the short-term rhythm, the 200-day moving average judges the long-term cycle, and the trading volume verifies whether the funds are genuinely entering or just fake movements. These three things make up my entire "arsenal."

Back in 2017, BTC had just broken through the $5000 mark. At the moment when the 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average, the trading volume skyrocketed to three times the usual level. At that moment, I made a decision – I sold my wedding house, along with the mortgage, and pooled together 3 million to invest it all.

That wave allowed me to touch the 10k threshold for the first time.

But what truly allowed me to reach this point is not that all-in moment, but rather the "not touching" lesson I learned later.

**Three unbreakable rules:**

**First rule: A single cryptocurrency can allocate up to 15%.**
When LTC skyrocketed in 2018, I only dared to invest 12%. Later, it plummeted by 80%, and while others were liquidated, my account didn’t feel the itch at all. Staying alive is more crucial than catching a bull.

**Article 2: Cut it if you need to, don't be too sentimental.**
Mainstream coins drop more than 8% below the 50-day line? Cut directly. Altcoins drop more than 5%? Clear them instantly. On the night before LUNA's collapse, my 1% small position automatically stopped loss and exited, losing only 70,000 U. If I had hesitated for one night, it wouldn't have been this amount.

**Article 3: A maximum of three transactions per month.**
In the first few years after entering the market, I watched the charts every day and wanted to profit from every fluctuation. What was the result? I lost the down payment for half a house. Later, I forced myself to only make trades three times a month, which instead allowed me to catch those key turning points in March 2012 and April 2021.

Last week, ETH touched the 200-day line for the third time without breaking it, and the trading volume shrank to a frozen point. The system gave a signal, and I followed the rules to set an 8% position. After a 15% increase, I took profit and exited, and my account balance just crossed the 50 million line.

Looking through the trading notebook from 2017, the first page reads: "Stop once I make 50 million."

At that time, living in a city village, gnawing on steamed buns while looking at K-line charts, it was like a joke.

The last page of the notes has a phrase: "Complex systems earn emotional money, simple systems earn time money."

Now that there's enough money, I understand - there are too many things in life that are worth paying attention to more than K lines.

I will store this set of gameplay on a hard drive or bury it in a corner of the backyard.

The market can never earn enough. But life, there is only one.