Fed at 20:00: What will happen to crypto after Powell's decision

The FOMC meeting is not just a press conference, it is a theater of the absurd, where every word of Jerome Powell can send Bitcoin down or up by 10%. Today we are betting on a 0.25% decrease, but that is not the main point.

Why does the market always fall AFTER the Fed?

History shows a pattern: traders buy a day before the decision due to FOMO, and then sell on the news. Already $17 billion longs have been liquidated — this is a signal that large players are closing positions before volatility.

Scenarios for today:

Scenario A (70% probability): Powell speaks about “developing economy and risks”, the market reads this as “we have passed the bottom”, and the wave of liquidations washes away the remaining long positions. BTC is testing support.

Scenario B (30% probability): Unexpected call for caution + hint at a pause in rate cuts. Relief, rise of 3-5%.

The main thing is not the money that plays

While you are guessing, the institutions are already:

• Closed long positions
• Keeping stablecoins ready
• They are waiting for your panic sell to buy at a 20% drop.

This is not a forecast, it's just a story that repeats itself every time.

TL;DR: Prepare for volatility. Having stables in your pocket is the best strategy for today.