#CPI数据来袭 Tonight at 20:30, the US September CPI data will be released! This "data drought"'s only economic barometer will determine whether Bitcoin will plummet into the abyss or surge towards $200,000!
Core battlefield: How does CPI data determine the life and death of the coin circle?
Stubborn inflation exceeds expectations: The market expects the September CPI to remain at 3.1% year-on-year (continuing to be above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for several months), and the core CPI is also 3.1%. The Federal Reserve's "rate cut gamble": Despite high inflation, Wall Street is still betting that the Federal Reserve will definitely cut rates by 25 basis points next week! JPMorgan stated that unless the data reveals "extreme risks", the rate cut is imminent. Data impact path: If CPI ≤ 3.1%: Interest rate cut expectations strengthen, Bitcoin may violently surge to $117,000 - $120,000! If CPI > 3.1%: Panic selling may be triggered, Bitcoin's 100,000 USD support level is at risk!
The Undercurrents in the Coin Circle: Massive Capital Flight VS the Last Drop! Massive capital outflow: Bitcoin ETF bled 9.6 billion HKD in a single week! This is the second-largest capital outflow in history, with market sentiment shifting from cautious to panic. "$100,000 Bottom Card" Defense Battle: Standard Chartered Bank's "Bitcoin Big Friend" Geoffrey Kendrick warns that falling below $100,000 is almost inevitable! But he emphasizes: "This may be the last time we drop below $100,000," urging to buy the dip and insist on a $200,000 target by the end of the year. Key support level: $100,000 is not only a psychological barrier but also the 365-day moving average! Once it is lost, the selling pressure will be like an avalanche.
Catalysts for Explosive Growth: Four Major Nuclear-Level Benefits are Building Momentum! Seasonal Patterns: October and November are the "mythical months" for Bitcoin! The historical average price increases are 19.8% and 46%, and the bull market engine is already warming up. ETF Expansion Wave: Veteran asset management giant T. Rowe Price has submitted an application for a cryptocurrency ETF, covering multiple coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL, which may trigger a influx of billions in funds. Policy Amnesty Bonus: Trump pardons the founder of bn, the regulatory environment shifts to friendly, BNB surges over 5% in a single day, and market risk appetite soars. Ethereum breaks through: Ethereum surpassed $3900, with a 24-hour increase of 2.1%. A rotation of altcoins is about to start!
Risk Warning: Three Major Minefields Can Explode at Any Time! High panic index: Today's cryptocurrency fear and greed index is only 30 (still in the "fear" zone), and market vulnerability far exceeds expectations. Tariff inflation spiral: 60%-75% of U.S. tariff costs will be passed on to consumers, potentially triggering a "second wave of inflation" and constraining the Federal Reserve's easing space. Government Shutdown Shadow: The U.S. shutdown has entered its 23rd day, with economic data becoming opaque, and any unexpected events could amplify volatility.
Tonight, either witness history or become history! Wall Street's legendary saying: "When there is blood on the streets, it is time to buy." If the CPI data triggers a panic sell-off, it could be the last golden pit before the bull market.
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#CPI数据来袭 Tonight at 20:30, the US September CPI data will be released! This "data drought"'s only economic barometer will determine whether Bitcoin will plummet into the abyss or surge towards $200,000!
Core battlefield: How does CPI data determine the life and death of the coin circle?
Stubborn inflation exceeds expectations: The market expects the September CPI to remain at 3.1% year-on-year (continuing to be above the Federal Reserve's 2% target for several months), and the core CPI is also 3.1%.
The Federal Reserve's "rate cut gamble": Despite high inflation, Wall Street is still betting that the Federal Reserve will definitely cut rates by 25 basis points next week! JPMorgan stated that unless the data reveals "extreme risks", the rate cut is imminent.
Data impact path:
If CPI ≤ 3.1%: Interest rate cut expectations strengthen, Bitcoin may violently surge to $117,000 - $120,000!
If CPI > 3.1%: Panic selling may be triggered, Bitcoin's 100,000 USD support level is at risk!
The Undercurrents in the Coin Circle: Massive Capital Flight VS the Last Drop!
Massive capital outflow: Bitcoin ETF bled 9.6 billion HKD in a single week! This is the second-largest capital outflow in history, with market sentiment shifting from cautious to panic.
"$100,000 Bottom Card" Defense Battle: Standard Chartered Bank's "Bitcoin Big Friend" Geoffrey Kendrick warns that falling below $100,000 is almost inevitable! But he emphasizes: "This may be the last time we drop below $100,000," urging to buy the dip and insist on a $200,000 target by the end of the year.
Key support level: $100,000 is not only a psychological barrier but also the 365-day moving average! Once it is lost, the selling pressure will be like an avalanche.
Catalysts for Explosive Growth: Four Major Nuclear-Level Benefits are Building Momentum!
Seasonal Patterns: October and November are the "mythical months" for Bitcoin! The historical average price increases are 19.8% and 46%, and the bull market engine is already warming up.
ETF Expansion Wave: Veteran asset management giant T. Rowe Price has submitted an application for a cryptocurrency ETF, covering multiple coins such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and SOL, which may trigger a influx of billions in funds.
Policy Amnesty Bonus: Trump pardons the founder of bn, the regulatory environment shifts to friendly, BNB surges over 5% in a single day, and market risk appetite soars.
Ethereum breaks through: Ethereum surpassed $3900, with a 24-hour increase of 2.1%. A rotation of altcoins is about to start!
Risk Warning: Three Major Minefields Can Explode at Any Time!
High panic index: Today's cryptocurrency fear and greed index is only 30 (still in the "fear" zone), and market vulnerability far exceeds expectations.
Tariff inflation spiral: 60%-75% of U.S. tariff costs will be passed on to consumers, potentially triggering a "second wave of inflation" and constraining the Federal Reserve's easing space.
Government Shutdown Shadow: The U.S. shutdown has entered its 23rd day, with economic data becoming opaque, and any unexpected events could amplify volatility.
Tonight, either witness history or become history!
Wall Street's legendary saying: "When there is blood on the streets, it is time to buy." If the CPI data triggers a panic sell-off, it could be the last golden pit before the bull market.