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If the Fed decides to cut rates on September 19, it will impact financial markets, including cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin being the most prominent. Is this a booster for the market or a "Sword of Damocles" hanging in mid-air? Let's look back at history to learn from past experiences.

Gate Research Weekly Review and Outlook: BTC and ETH prices fluctuated this week. Bitcoin ETFs saw a net inflow of $196 million, while Ethereum ETFs experienced a net outflow of $3.9 million. On October 9, Bitcoin mining difficulty rose by 4.12%, potentially leading to a price rebound. The FTX restructuring plan received approval, with payouts set to begin in late October. Hackers hijacked an EigenLayer investor's email, stealing over 1.6 million EIGEN tokens, though some funds were frozen. Upcoming speeches by Federal Reserve officials on key economic issues may influence future monetary policy.

Gate Research Daily Report, August 14: BTC prices have returned above $60,000, while ETH remains volatile. The market shows an optimistic bullish sentiment. The U.S. July PPI growth was below expectations, affecting the Fed's interest rate cut outlook. BitGo wallet transferred a large amount of Mt. Gox Bitcoin assets, and Aethir Foundation opened community reward claims.

Gate Research Weekly Market Review and Outlook: Bitcoin continues to fluctuate this week, with short-term investor sentiment leaning towards pessimism. A significant downward revision of US non-farm payroll data, indicating a weak job market, has catalyzed expectations for interest rate cuts. Bitcoin ETFs see continuous net inflows, driven by strong institutional buying interest and increased off-exchange capital inflows, leading to higher USDT issuance. Sun Pump rapidly expands its market share, energizing the TRON ecosystem. The imminent launch of Fractal Bitcoin's mainnet has made the Bitcoin ecosystem narrative a market hotspot. This week's market funding primarily focused on infrastructure, artificial intelligence, and privacy security sectors.

The monthly Bitcoin price charts for August and September show a downward trend, with upcoming events such as the September CPI and interest rate cut expectations, indicating the market may experience significant volatility. So, is now the right time to buy the dip? Let's explore the Bitcoin indicators for answers.

Gate Research (2025.2.1-2025.2.7) – This report comprehensively analyzes the key dynamics in the cryptocurrency market and the broader macroeconomy. On February 1, the U.S. government announced new tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, leading to significant volatility in the cryptocurrency market. On February 3, former President Donald Trump agreed with the President of Mexico to suspend the anticipated tariffs immediately. On the same day, an Oklahoma state legislator proposed the Bitcoin Freedom Act, which is under review at the 60th legislative session. On February 5, Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates twice this year.

Gate Research Weekly Review and Outlook reports: BTC may be affected by a 50 basis point interest rate cut, breaking through $62,500 with resistance at $63,000. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are in a net inflow state overall. The total market cap of stablecoins has increased for several consecutive weeks, with further inflow of incremental funds from outside the market. The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point reduction in the target range for the federal funds rate. The Trump family's cryptocurrency project, World Liberty Finance, was recently launched. The ARB chain DeFi project DeltaPrime suffered an attack, losing approximately $4.5 million.

Gate Research (April 4–10, 2025): Gate Research (April 4–10, 2025): Lens Protocol launched its mainnet (Lens Chain) on April 4. On April 7, Mantra unveiled a $108M fund to boost real-world asset tokenization and DeFi innovation. On April 9, PancakeSwap proposed its Economics 3.0 plan to cut token supply by 20% over five years. On April 10, Tether’s CEO announced plans for a decentralized AI platform launching in June or September, empowering users to control their data.

Gate Research Daily Report: September 9, over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin and Ethereum have risen by 1.32% and 1.04%, respectively. Bitcoin stabilized around $55,100, and Ethereum held steady near $2,312, both showing short-term support levels. The U.S. August unemployment rate met expectations, while non-farm payrolls came in below forecast, increasing the probability of a 25 basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September to 70%. Additionally, Ether.fi reported August revenue of $2.19 million, with 5% allocated for ETHFI buybacks and LP mining. OORT updated its tokenomics, extending the team’s token lock-up period. Fractal Bitcoin launched its mainnet and unveiled its tokenomics model.

Gate Research Daily Report:December 9 As of December 9, Bitcoin's price has been fluctuating within a narrow range around $100,000, with the market maintaining a balance between long and short positions. The total net inflow for Bitcoin spot ETFs was $377 million, while Ethereum spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $83.76 million. The "altcoin season" may have arrived, as the market capitalization of tokens other than Bitcoin and Ethereum has exceeded 30%. The total value locked (TVL) in liquidity staking protocols has reached $70.9 billion. The Cat-Themed, Privacy Coins, and The Boy's Club sectors saw changes of +7.0%, +6.2%, and +4.2%, respectively. Trump has stated that he does not plan to replace Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, and the probability of a rate cut by the Fed in December exceeds 83%. Interlace completed a $10 million Series B1 funding round, with participation from Bitrock Capital, Robinhood, and others.

Gate Research Daily Report (November 8): Bitcoin saw a modest increase of 0.38%, fluctuating between $74,500 and $76,800. Despite the Federal Reserve’s latest 25 basis point rate cut, Bitcoin’s upward momentum appears to be slowing. Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $1.38 billion, setting a new single-day high, while open interest in Bitcoin futures across the network exceeded $46 billion, marking a historic peak. Today, the Sui network saw a net inflow of $26.8 million, contrasting with Ethereum’s net outflow of $91 million. UBS announced the launch of its blockchain-based payment system, UBS Digital Cash, and the UK House of Lords expressed its support for the Digital Asset Property Bill, which aims to clarify the legal status of digital assets.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 13, BTC experienced a 1.10% decline over 24 hours, reaching a peak price of $102,503 and currently trading at $99,994. Altcoin sectors such as RWA (Real World Assets), Oracle, and Lending/Borrowing Protocols saw gains of 18.3%, 17.6%, and 10.7%, respectively. U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and initial jobless claims data exceeded expectations, raising the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December to 96.7%. Grayscale has launched trust funds for Optimism and Lido. A Republican representative from Texas has introduced a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. The Trump family's cryptocurrency initiative has intensified its focus on DeFi, increasing holdings in ETH, AAVE, and LINK. The Avalanche Foundation announced it has raised $250 million through a private token sale to support its blockchain platform.

Gate Research Daily Report: On December 20th, BTC and ETH saw a downward correction, with the market sentiment remaining stable. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs experienced net outflows, while altcoins like Terminal of Truths stood out with notable gains. The U.S. stock indices showed mixed performance, with spot gold slightly rising, and the Fear & Greed Index indicating a state of market greed. Popular tokens such as USUAL, FARTCOIN, and IDOODLES (Doodles Fraction Token) garnered attention in the market. Hyperliquid reached a new trading volume high, the SEC approved new ETFs, and Deutsche Bank predicted that the Federal Reserve would not cut interest rates. MetaMask expanded its payment card pilot, while projects like Kettle Finance secured funding and Plume Network offered airdrop opportunities.

The Solana governance forum recently introduced the SIMD-0228 proposal, which aims to dynamically adjust the inflation rate, reducing SOL's annual issuance by 80% to direct capital toward the DeFi ecosystem. However, the proposal has sparked heated discussions within the community regarding the "inflationary spiral" and conflicting interests.

In 2022, the NFT market has witnessed many changes. Yuga Labs was still leading the market and issued a new land type NFT - Otherdeed for Otherside in May. This project was also playing a leading role in the market. Other projects such as Moonbirds and Clonex also cut a conspicuous figure in different periods.