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A suspected Google insider leaked the release deadline for CEX 3.0 Flash, with multiple accounts accurately betting on a narrow window.

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On November 28, according to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market “Will CEX 3.0 Flash be released before _?” series of Order Books, the trading patterns of multiple traders show remarkable consistency: accurately locking the product's release date within a narrow 16-day window. This prediction series includes three key deadlines, and the market generally believes: the probability for the upcoming November 30 deadline, with less than 3 days remaining, is only 1%; the possibility of release before December 15 is 9%; while the likelihood of release before December 31 is as high as 91%. This trend reflects the market's confidence in the release of CEX 3.0 Flash, but believes that Google needs more time for final testing and adjustments. Among the traders in this market, multiple accounts show a highly unified structure in their Holdings, indicating precise mastery of internal timing. User gladitya, by holding “No” shares for both November 30 and December 15, as well as “Yes” shares for December 31, has confidently placed a Heavy Position bet totaling $14,000 on the release date being precisely locked between December 16 and December 31. Currently, this Position has achieved over 40% unrealized gains. Notably, the only historical trade of this account was a successful bet on the release of another CEX version, profiting nearly $10,000. Additionally, two other traders have holdings structures that closely match this: NCW, with no other trading history, has a Heavy Position of $17,810 betting “No” for December 15 and “Yes” for December 31. ambuscade, in addition to holding over $50,000 in this Order Book, has an average position of less than $50 in its past five historical trades. This pattern of multiple accounts using large sums, precisely excluding earlier dates, and concentrating bets on specific later windows is very characteristic of insider information.

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