In the crypto world, which is full of variables, the global political and economic situation is like a weather vane with hidden currents, pulling everything along with it. Let us examine the key points of the current situation together:

First, Trump's harsh criticism of India's tariff policy has attracted attention. Although India is quietly reducing tariffs on some goods, Trump's stance remains tough. At the same time, the U.S. may implement tariff exemptions on building materials, and these actions undoubtedly increase uncertainty in the global trade environment.

Secondly, the leadership of the Federal Reserve may face changes. There are reports that Milan may take over as the Chairman of the Federal Reserve before September. This personnel change could affect the future direction of monetary policy, including the pace of interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction.

Furthermore, the international geopolitical situation remains tense. Events such as the attack on senior officials of the Houthi armed forces, suspected GPS interference with EU aircraft, and controversial remarks by the German Defense Minister regarding the Ukraine issue have all contributed to increasing global instability. Against this backdrop, safe-haven assets like silver and gold have seen significant price increases, with silver reaching a nearly 13-year high.

In addition, the crude oil market is also not calm. Although OPEC+ may maintain current production levels, Syria is exporting crude oil for the first time in 14 years. These factors could affect commodity prices, which in turn could impact the liquidity of the crypto world.

Historical experience shows that geopolitics and macro policies often act as the 'invisible hand' of the crypto world. For example, when the Russia-Ukraine conflict broke out last year, Bitcoin plummeted by 10% in a single day, but then rebounded due to risk aversion sentiment. The current international situation may exert pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, in the short term, but it may also drive some funds into Bitcoin or other coins as a safe haven choice.

In this complex and ever-changing environment, investors need to closely monitor global political and economic trends, rationally analyze the potential impacts of various factors on the crypto market, in order to make informed investment decisions.