BitLiuBei

I don’t care whether it’s classic or not—I just like this one.
During the daytime, BTC/ETH rebounded in sync, and entered at the highest key point as a precise pin. Bitcoin topped at 6920, Ethereum topped at 2132. Real-time positioning and targeted strikes achieved an inverted V reversal—can we say it’s accurate?
$BTC

April 7th BTC/ETH:
Tonight, the US-Iran negotiations' final deadline for a ceasefire—could it be the turning point for the market?
Although Trump claims to stay on high alert, ready to unleash full force if talks break down, based on previous handling methods, the most likely outcome is continued delays and prolonged negotiations. In trading, remember to stay defensive; after all, Trump occasionally draws K-lines with his mouth. The overall trend hasn't reached a true bottom yet, so the bottoming opportunity has not arrived!
BTC
The price around 7000 is a dense zone of chips. Yesterday, I emph

April 6th BTC/ETH:
Trump and Iran reach a ceasefire deal—are they trying the “wolf is coming” routine again to lure in more buying?
On Monday morning, Bitcoin rebounded and held above 6900. Trump again spoke on the 45-day ceasefire buffer period with Iran. The final ultimatum was for Tuesday, when Iran confirmed it. At that point, crude oil released downside pressure, and safe-haven assets rebounded across the board. In fact, the outcome of the dispute can only cause short-term fluctuations in the market. Overall, whether crude oil can lower the inflation coefficient and determine when rate cu

Today is Good Friday, and the US stock market is closed for the day!
The overall market is unlikely to see too much movement. Speaking of Good Friday, there isn’t as much “hardship” for friends in the crypto circle recently. Trump’s remarks on the US-Iran war have been wavering, causing the market’s long and short sides to get whipped back and forth—using words to draw K-lines. Yesterday’s analysis already nailed down the bottom and top on the smaller timeframe. As long as everyone doesn’t get too caught up in the bigger picture, returns can still be made!
BTC
Currently, the larger-scale trend

April 2nd BTC/ETH:
Trump's speech reignites Middle East tensions, causing a broad decline in cryptocurrencies!
This morning, Trump’s remarks indicated increased pressure on Iran, targeting energy facilities. Iran responded in kind, and due to fears over energy demand, crude oil surged sharply. This news-driven development put pressure on cryptocurrencies, gold, and silver, which declined. The recent market fluctuations have been influenced by Trump’s repeated comments. As I mentioned in previous macro analysis, the Middle East issue won't be resolved quickly; essentially, it’s about supplying

April 1st BTC/ETH:
Easing US-Iran relations, April Fools' Day brings a buying opportunity?
Last night, Trump officially announced a suspension of military actions against Iran. Crude oil prices came under pressure, and funds flowed into safe-haven assets, causing a rebound. On-chain data shows about $150 million in crypto spot inflows yesterday, seeming like the market is warming up. However, in reality, although Trump proposed a suspension, he secretly arranged for his ally UAE to continue attacking Iran. The logic behind this is to use crude oil to alleviate the dollar's inflationary pressur

March 31 BTC/ETH:
An analysis as fierce as a tiger, whether the rise and fall are all just unreliable speculation?
This market is also interesting. Originally, the continued decline was thought to be over after Trump mentioned ending the geopolitical conflict. The release of oil supply pressure caused a sudden rebound in cryptocurrencies and gold safe-haven assets. Whether the decline is truly over remains uncertain, as it was only Trump's unilateral statement. However, yesterday's BTC-ETH correction still reached the expected target level. Today is the last day of the month, about to close th

Time reveals true knowledge; trends are the way to go!
Don't chase gains at high levels; chasing gains will only get you trapped!
The essence of trading is waiting for opportunities—waiting for your own trading opportunities. This seemingly simple principle is actually the hardest truth to understand and practice in the market.
Last Friday, I publicly indicated that breaking below 6810 would lead the market to test 6500. Buy the dips around 6500 and wait. On Monday morning, a classic V-shaped reversal occurred again. The small-scale rebound lacked sufficient volume, so the market is bound to r

March 30th BTC/ETH:
On Monday morning, Bitcoin experienced a V-shaped rebound after a decline, with the upward channel potentially opening?
The classic long and short showdown played out in the early session, first retracing and breaking below 6500, liquidating 2.1 billion in stop-losses, then rallying up to 6700, liquidating nearly 1 billion. The market sentiment from the big players looks somewhat grim. From a macro perspective, the focus remains on the geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Crude oil remains under pressure, and safe-haven assets are unlikely to collapse. Next, we wa

March 27 BTC/ETH:
The main force behind the strengthening of U.S. Treasury yields is once again selling pressure. Is Bitcoin hanging by a thread?
Recent geopolitical conflicts continue to entangle, with U.S. and Japanese bond yields rising steadily. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has hit an 8-month high, while Japanese bond yields reached a 30-year peak. The underlying logic is the uncertainty of war, with high interest rates increasing the cost of holding Bitcoin. Capital is flowing back into government bonds, suppressing similar assets like Bitcoin and gold. The Federal Reserve's focus has

March 26 BTC/ETH:
U.S. unemployment data is coming, and Bitcoin faces a decisive moment between bulls and bears!
A month-long geopolitical dispute continues, with Iran drafting a protocol to "charge tolls" at the Strait of Hormuz, while crude oil rebounds, triggering inflation shocks. Japan’s rate hike policy is taking effect, with the 2-year government bond yield reaching its highest level since 1996. The likelihood of further rate hikes and tightening remains high, putting pressure on the Fed’s rate cut expectations. Tonight’s unemployment data will likely be poor, potentially triggering ano

Consolidation is not weakness, but chip accumulation and preparing for a breakout!
Over these past few days, the market has been pulled back and forth due to geopolitical factors. Daily signals show false retracements followed by true breakouts. The phase rebound trend has formed, with new highs pushing the support level higher on pullbacks. This market can basically hold above 7000, and the next rebound should test the 7450 level!
During the day, keep an eye on low points. In the evening, rebounds may break new highs. BTC/ETH targets have both been achieved. Next, choose to take profits or re

March 25 BTC/ETH:
Trump Furious as Tensions Escalate, Can Bitcoin Rally Higher?
Recent market movements have been pulled back and forth by geopolitical tensions. First, Trump made a feint saying he would end the war, and the market quickly rebounded. Immediately after, Iran clarified and the market was pushed back below 7000. Next came consecutive retaliatory strikes from the US, with the market moving confusingly following current events. However, overall the downtrend is holding steady!
BTC
Currently the market is in a high-level consolidation state. Small timeframe MAs show a clear bearish

March 24 BTC/ETH:
Bitcoin Surges: Allegedly Controlled by Trump?
Before yesterday's US market open, Trump posted: Willing to reach a deal with Iran. Bitcoin and gold surged instantly, crypto 24H long liquidations hit $360 million, crude oil moved inversely 📉. Iran quickly followed with a hard denial of this event. This morning the US attacked Iranian energy facilities again—reality is slapping faces left and right. The essence is that Trump is willing to end the dispute but can't bring himself to initiate negotiations, so he sent a soft-touch post instead. Didn't expect Iran wouldn't give him

March 23 BTC/ETH:
Geopolitical Conflict Escalates, Bitcoin Falls Again, Where's the Bottom?
Trump is also unreliable. On one hand, he says the war will end immediately, on the other hand, he issues an ultimatum to Iran, threatening to bomb power plants if the strait isn't opened! US stocks, precious metals, and the Chinese A-shares all plummeted across the board. Bitcoin extended its seven-day decline at Monday's early session, breaking key support levels. As mentioned in previous articles, if the daily chart breaks 7000, the second decline will reach at least 6500. It looks like we're not far

March 20 BTC/ETH:
Bitcoin Rebounds Slightly After Sharp Decline, How to Navigate Black Friday?
Following the Federal Reserve meeting's decision to hold rates as expected, major players withdrew, causing bitcoin to crash across the board. Meanwhile, gold, which shares the same risk-off characteristics, also rebounded simultaneously. The logic behind this is actually a signal of risk appetite flowing back—major players are repositioning. Historically, gold represents stability while bitcoin offers better elasticity and is more sensitive to market movements.
BTC
Under current market conditions, t

March 19 BTC/ETH:
Federal Reserve Won't Cut Rates, Institutions Fleeing, Where's Bitcoin's Bottom?
The Federal Reserve meeting in the early morning confirmed expectations of no rate cuts, with rates maintained at 3.5%-3.75%, approved 11-1, and Powell may continue as Fed chair. Before the meeting, prices dropped sharply. Yesterday's public analysis: BTC 7450, ETH 2350 at the peak, all positions closed as planned. Can this level of market control be called precise?
BTC
Last night's price broke through key daily support level, with overall rebound recovery showing weak momentum, indicating the pu

Bitcoin consolidating while accumulating chips, phase top reached. Will the Fed's interest rate decision tonight trigger a wave of selloffs?
①Fed FOMC meeting on March 19 expectations: Federal funds rate maintained at 3.5%-3.75%, adjusted up 25bp compared to December's 3.4%, hawkish full-year rate cut expectations reset to zero. Main reasons: oil prices surging, inflation rising, employment declining, stagflation concerns!
②Dot plot rate cut expectations: 7 officials believe there will be no rate cut in 2026, only 3 support one rate cut. The market has pushed forward the first rate cut to Sept

March 17 BTC/ETH:
Bitcoin daily has 8 consecutive bullish candles, has the bear market turned into a bull market?
On March 18, the Federal Reserve will begin its interest rate decision meeting. Currently, WTI crude oil has broken above $100, making inflation rise inevitable. Powell is very likely to mention the risks of stagflation, which will eliminate any chance of a rate cut in March. Additionally, the Fed will release interest rate projections for the coming years. From the overall environment, future rate cuts also look pessimistic, and the market may face another sharp decline at any tim

March 16 BTC/ETH:
Middle East Geopolitical Conflict Eases, Can BTC Rally Continue to Push Higher on Monday Morning?
6 AM US Media: Trump announces multi-country joint agreement this week to jointly facilitate passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Due to easing supply-demand relations, the USD and crude oil WTI open under pressure in the early session. High-level profit-taking selling pressure, short-term capital inflows into crypto, leading to across-the-board rebound!
BTC
Early session saw price surge driven by external factors, but real-time trading volume shows volume-price divergence. K-li