StacyMuur

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Making 7 figures in finance:
- Patek Philippe
- Porsche 911
- Weekends in Miami
- Penthouse in Upper East Side
Making 7 figures in crypto:
- Apple Watch & Whoop
- No car
- Weekends in Singapore
- Villa in Thailand
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The trader segmentation looks nothing like it did 3 years ago.
Distribution was very balanced around Nov 2023:
• Whale: 4-22%
• Dolphin: 8-22%
• Fish: 34-62%
• Shrimp: 14-50%
But this balance shifted heavily in favor of whales over time.
By Mar 2026, the change is massive across every category except dolphin:
• Whale: 63-88%
• Dolphin: 2-24%
• Fish: 3-11%
• Shrimp: 1-11%
Retail was clearly pushed out.
The only ones left are institutional players and bots driving DEX activity.
This imbalance won't be easily changed.
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If you do $100K+ volume on Polymarket, you're in the top 0.77% of traders.
It takes just ↓
200 trades for $500
500 trades for $200
1000 trades for $100
You can easily hit $100K in a month with a $5,000 deposit by vibe coding a scalping bot for 5/15m markets with Claude.
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X DMs are a meme pt.2
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The entire Solana DEX trader base since 2023 would fit inside Dubai.
Cumulative unique traders since Nov 2023: 1.52M.
From the chart, we can see that recurring traders are holding up reasonably well given the current market conditions.
But first-time traders have been declining for the past 3 months straight, and are now at new lows.
Three things keeping new traders out:
→ DeFi onboarding is still painful
→ Sentiment is low
→ CEXs are easier
Solana needs a fresh narrative or a real bull market to wake up.
SOL-2,29%
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Every major CEX posted negative listing ROI in Q1 2026.
Every. Single. One.
A CEX listing used to be a catalyst for demand.
Now that dynamic is dead, and it's not a coincidence.
CEX listings are structurally designed to dump:
→ Tokens launch at high valuations with a low circulating supply, so every unlock that follows adds more sell pressure
→ VCs who got in at lower valuations use the listing as their exit
→ Exchanges charge listing fees and hedge that exposure immediately (looking at you, @)
This played out enough times that retail like you and me eventually caught on and stopped playing.
O
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Solana's DEX trading volume is near all-time highs, but most of it is coming from bots.
In January 2025, humans and bots were still competing in volume:
→ Real traders: $56.3B
→ Bots: $68.3B
By March 2026, the picture looks completely different:
→ Real traders: $6.7B
→ Bots: $134.1B
The 60/40 split flipped to 95/5.
It's clear that the market optimized for speed. Manual traders can't compete with systems that can react in milliseconds and run 24/7.
We also have AI agents that are further accelerating this shift. Their share will only grow from here.
If you're still trading manually, you're fall
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The memecoin season ran out of buyers, not tokens.
I was shocked to see these 2 charts contradicting each other.
New token launches are near all-time highs, while active traders keep declining.
Thousands of tokens are launching daily into a market that lost almost all its participants.
This imbalance produces side effects:
→ Liquidity gets split across hundreds of tokens
→ Launches struggle to stay afloat
→ Narratives die faster because attention cycles have gotten shorter
Fewer traders = less money coming in = low volume →= harder PvP for smaller returns
At the mid-2025 peak, Solana alone had
SOL-2,29%
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Shorts paid $68.5M to longs in the last 7 days.
Longs only paid $21.7M.
Short-heavy everywhere:
→ BARD: -$8.75M
→ ONT: -$5.47M
→ RIVER: -$4.98M
→ SOL: -$3.83M
→ SIREN: -$3.74M
→ KITE: -$2.74M
→ ETH: -$1.65M
BTC bucks the trend. Longs paid +$1.87M.
Shorts are funding the party.
Quick context:
This is the funding rate settlement over the last 7 days. It shows who's paying to keep their positions open. When one side is crowded, they pay the other to maintain balance.
BARD4,77%
ONT-12,58%
SOL-2,29%
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If you invested $10,000 in The Sandbox $SAND in November 2021, you would have $100 today.
That would have been enough to make a down payment on a real piece of land like a normal human being.
SAND-2,28%
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The Drift hack wasn’t a code exploit.
It was social engineering using Solana’s durable nonces.
Quick explainer on durable nonces ↓
Normally, Solana transactions include a recent blockhash that expires in ~90 seconds. Miss the window and the signed transaction dies.
Durable nonces remove that expiry.
Instead of a blockhash that dies in 90 seconds, you substitute a stored nonce value from a special on chain account. That nonce doesn't expire until someone manually advances it or submits the transaction.
A signed transaction using a durable nonce can sit in someone's pocket for days, weeks, mont
DRIFT10,01%
SOL-2,29%
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ybaservip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
Name a project with zero haters, I'll start:
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If you invested $10,000 on January 1, 2026 ↓
Hyperliquid → $15,000
Bittensor → $13,500
Monad →$10,200
Canton → $9,600
Bitcoin → $8,800
Jupiter → $8,500
XRP → $7,400
Dogecoin → $7,300
Ethereum → $7,200
Cardano: $7,200
BNB → $7,100
Litecoin → $6,800
Solana → $6,700
Aave → $6,400
Zcash → $4,800
HYPE-2,41%
TAO-1,55%
MON-3,95%
BTC-0,46%
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Some of the most profitable products in crypto still haven't airdropped anything.
Let's see how many days passed since their first airdrop tease (or points introduction) and their 30D revenue:
→ @Rabby_io: 800 days – $391K
→ @TrojanOnSolana: 757 days – $1.4M
→ @Photon_Labs: 653 days – $828K
→ @bullx_io: 632 days – $66K
→ @Pumpfun: 529 days – $23.7M
→ @opensea: 412 days – $212K
→ @MetaMask: 194 days – $3M
It's easy to be frustrated by this.
But objectively, a product generating revenue has zero structural reason to rush a token launch.
The airdrop is the carrot. As long as users keep paying fee
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It looks like the @USDai_Official airdrop was solid, but only for the earliest participants.
Getting in early wasn't easy, though.
I remember the first caps were filled almost instantly when they opened.
Whale wallets were dropping 5-6 figures and filling the caps in seconds. If you missed that first wave, you were already behind on points.
The second deposit event was much easier to enter, but by then there was already a big point gap between early and new depositors.
Now the part that everyone's interested in.
The numbers ↓
300M CHIP was distributed to ~4,571 sUSDai holders.
→ Average alloca
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Every new DeFi hack makes me more surprised why onchain insurance isn’t normalized here.
Can someone explain?
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