LaughingDaysYsxdct

Actually, what everyone is still expecting are the other ALPHA opportunities in the crypto market that are brought by a Bitcoin bull run. After all, most retail investors don’t have Bitcoin in their hands, and during a bull run they basically don’t play with Bitcoin either. The fact is that 90% of retail investors in the crypto market don’t trade Bitcoin during a bull run—they’re expecting Bitcoin to bring up the crypto market’s sentiment, bring up the environment, and bring up the heat of capital.

1. If you have been in this market all along, it's not hard to see through observation and experience that this cycle (2022—present) has much stronger resilience in the crypto space than the previous bull and bear cycle (2020—2022).
2. The hallmark events during the last bear market were: the LUNA explosion, the Three Arrows Capital collapse, and the FTX downfall;
3. So far in this cycle, the only purely industry-related events are 1011 and the recent AAVE liquidity crisis.

1. Gold, silver, and oil are still in garbage time;
2. The crypto market might be entering garbage time (altcoins cooling off, Bitcoin oscillating);
3. For now, it seems the only market that might still be worth engaging with is the U.S. stock market, which keeps generating new stories and narratives.

Why do I say that recently in the crypto world, it's best not to play if you can avoid it, and only take small positions if you really can't resist? Is this damn targeting me? Set a stop-loss at 2345, wake up to a precise explosion!

Share your short-term outlook: April 20th — the end of April. I believe the best strategy is to do nothing. If you really can't resist trading, I think it's only suitable for small-scale actions and not for heavy positions.

April 20, 2026 Stock Analysis $NVDA $HOOD $CRCL 1. Nüda (Figure 1) remains the most stable fundamental sector in the AI track, believing that the rise starting from the bottom is a new round of upward movement, patiently waiting for a pullback to buy in; 2. Robin Hood, bought at a price of 85, a dip is an opportunity to continue charging forward, I want to hold this stock during the transition from summer to autumn;

April 20, 2026, Monday Stock Analysis $BTC The “big pancake” needs to be viewed from two perspectives: 1. Short- to medium-term: The rebound starting from 60,000 has, in total, moved through three segments—two segments of upward movement and one segment of downward movement ( ABC ), where C equals A at the 0.786 level (Figure 1); Now is confirming the start of a pullback on the C segment, and the short-term support area is between 70,000 and 71,500 (Figure 2); then it’s around the 65,000–66,000 line.

Let's talk about the trading logic of the midline:
1. $BTC This rebound is just following the U.S. stock market's rebound (like a dead dog being dragged by the U.S. stocks, reluctant to leave), U.S. stocks may have already started a new rally (breaking previous highs counts), but for Bitcoin, there's no sign of it, at least not right now;

Oh wow, you got it right again! Pretty accurate.

Are you trading or gambling? Can you tell the difference? Or are you always trying to convince yourself that you're gambling under the guise of trading?

The teachers will analyze from various angles why $RAVE is pulling back, why it's dropping, why exchanges are not acting, blah blah blah... And the great group friends will tell me how to play and what stance to take.

I originally wanted to take a mid-line position, but I found that when the price dipped slightly, the short side (the shorters) got excited again; and it was also the weekend, with weak liquidity, so I felt especially uncomfortable—I was very much on guard; the chart happened to hit the M top neckline, so there are two choices: 1️⃣ rebound to find opportunities to continue adding 2️⃣ break below, then rebound to find opportunities to continue adding—if it breaks below without rebounding, then look for opportunities to chase; note ⚠️ the key word is to find opportunities.

I just hope the air force guys work quietly this time, and don't shoot! 🙏

Just a reminder: exchanges, project teams, VCs, KOLs, and so on... have all been going to Hong Kong for meetings these days😂

The first opinion hasn't changed; fundamentally, the news battles between Chuanzi and Iran these days are just tactics to gain more leverage at the negotiation table. The battlefield has shifted to the news front;
Just look at one point: as long as there is no resumption of fighting, the market has already priced in most of it. News only causes small fluctuations; only a new outbreak of war will lead to re-pricing.
For example: you block the strait? Fine! I'll fight you!

Chuanzi sits as the king of the US stocks, Iran as the king of crude oil; they collaborate to manipulate through information, playing a seesaw game.
In the past, fighting was a waste of resources and a lose-lose situation; in the new era, when investors foot the bill, it's a win-win.
Send out a tweet, create a news story, and they make a fortune—if it were you, would you be willing to stop the war?

Group friends short $RAVE to make a quick profit. They called me this afternoon to get on board, but I didn’t—I guess I was just being lazy. I missed the monthly “pig knuckle rice” meal.
To be honest, with a coin like this, aside from messing around with an entertainment position—risking liquidation of 1,000U for 10,000U—I really don’t dare to play it the other way, risking liquidation of 1万U for 10万U;
It’s not really that I’m afraid of losing—I’m just really afraid that I might make a big win on a coin like this!

Someone is watching nearby, so it's not convenient to talk. Starting next week.....